Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Leoncio Benitez

San Martin Formosa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Boca Unidos play San Martin Formosa in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boca Unidos averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. San Martin Formosa averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Boca Unidos won 2, San Martin Formosa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Boca Unidos and 1.81 for San Martin Formosa. This points to a San Martin Formosa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Boca Unidos

19%

Draws

41%

San Martin Formosa

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: San Martin Formosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Boca Unidos picked up more points recently compared to San Martin Formosa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 11%

San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Boca Unidos	San Martin Formosa
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	13
Draws	5	5
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.36	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs San Martin Formosa

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Apr 12, 2026 Torneo Federal

San Martin Formosa vs Boca Unidos

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal

San Martin Formosa vs Boca Unidos

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

3:0

Mar 23, 2025 Torneo Federal

Boca Unidos vs San Martin Formosa

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

0:3

Jul 14, 2024 Torneo Federal

San Martin Formosa vs Boca Unidos

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boca Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mendoza L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

San Martin Formosa Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Unidos 38 / 100

San Martin Formosa 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Boca Unidos San Martin Formosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Martin Formosa or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boca Unidos attacking → ← attacking San Martin Formosa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Unidos scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

San Martin Formosa let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Boca Unidos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Martin Formosa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 44

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9