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Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bochum host Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Arminia Bielefeld have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Bochum have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.31. Head-to-head, Bochum have won 2 to Arminia Bielefeld's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.25) back Bochum to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bochum
35%
Draws
19%
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bochum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bochum have managed 1.31 goals a game lately — Arminia Bielefeld are scoring more at 2.31.
  • Win probability leans Bochum's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 2. Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bochum Clean Sheet 19%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bochum Arminia Bielefeld
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.31 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Bochum
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
1:0
Aug 12, 2023 DFB Pokal
Arminia Bielefeld vs Bochum
3:2
May 6, 2022 Bundesliga
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:1
Dec 14, 2021 Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Bochum
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bochum 76 / 100
Arminia Bielefeld 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bochum Arminia Bielefeld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bochum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arminia Bielefeld conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Bochum scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Bochum has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bochum VS Arminia Bielefeld
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bochum

(Home)
02 Oct
Bochum
4 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
20 Sept
Hannover
2 : 1
Bochum
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1
Greuther Furth
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
28 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
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Arminia Bielefeld

(Away)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)