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Bochum vs Mainz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum
Bochum Logo

Bochum

2 - 0
FT
Mainz Logo

Mainz

Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Rasmussen C.
Assist: Holtmann G.
63'
Sub
Taz B. In: Miyoshi K.
Out: Taz B.
63'
Sub
Rasmussen C. In: Hofmann P.
Out: Rasmussen C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bochum
15%
Draws
59%
Mainz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mainz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mainz lately — more wins on the board than Bochum.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Mainz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mainz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bochum Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bochum Mainz
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.23 2.84
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 DFB Pokal
Bochum vs Mainz
2:0
May 10, 2025 Bundesliga
Bochum vs Mainz
1:4
Jan 11, 2025 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Bochum
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Bundesliga
Mainz vs Bochum
2:0
Oct 27, 2023 Bundesliga
Bochum vs Mainz
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bochum Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasmussen C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hofmann P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mainz Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bochum 30 / 100
Mainz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bochum Mainz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bochum scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Mainz has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Bochum remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bochum VS Mainz
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bochum

(Home)
23 Oct
Bochum
1 : 1
Wolfsburg
17 Oct
Kaiserslautern
2 : 0
Bochum
11 Oct
Bochum
0 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
02 Oct
Bochum
4 : 1
VfL Osnabruck
20 Sept
Hannover
2 : 1
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

Mainz

(Away)
24 Oct
Mainz
2 : 3
Werder Bremen
17 Oct
Schalke
0 : 1
Mainz
10 Oct
Mainz
3 : 4
Bayer Leverkusen
03 Oct
Mannheim
0 : 3
Mainz
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
1/16-finals
Sonnenhof Grossaspach -
Augsburg -
Jeddeloh -
Hertha Berlin -
RW Essen -
RB Leipzig -
1. FC Koln -
Union Berlin -
Dresden -
Schalke -
Dortmund -
Werder Bremen -
Bochum -
Mainz -
Hamburger -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
B. Monchengladbach -
Karlsruher -
Holstein Kiel -
Hoffenheim -
Bayer Leverkusen -
Nurnberg -
Hannover -
Kaiserslautern -
Paderborn -
VfB Stuttgart -
Freiburg -
Wolfsburg -
Elversberg -
Darmstadt -
Bayern Munich -
Magdeburg -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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