Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boden vs Algarna-Harnosand

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bel Mekki Z.
58' Event
Amine Hejai S.
69' Event
Amine Hejai S.

AI Match Summary

Boden in this Division 2 - Norrland 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Boden
20%
Draws
0%
Algarna-Harnosand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Boden have won more games recently than Algarna-Harnosand.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Boden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Boden have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Boden Clean Sheet 68%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden Algarna-Harnosand
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 16 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.69 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.34 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Boden
0:3
May 25, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:1
Sep 10, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:2
May 21, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Boden
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Amine Hejai S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Bel Mekki Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 95 / 100
Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden Algarna-Harnosand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Boden scored in 86% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Algarna-Harnosand conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Algarna-Harnosand's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Boden VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boden

(Home)
08 Aug
Boden
2 : 1
Taftea IK
01 Aug
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Boden
27 Jun
Taftea IK
1 : 1
Boden
22 Jun
Boden
1 : 4
IFK Lulea
13 Jun
Boden
1 : 1
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 7

Algarna-Harnosand

(Away)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)