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Bodo/Glimt vs Brann

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026 Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo
Bodo/Glimt Logo

Bodo/Glimt

Sat, May 9, 2026
4 - 3
04:00 PM
Brann Logo

Brann

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pedersen T.
Own Goal
31'
Myhre F.
32'
Sorensen J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bodo/Glimt in this NM Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Bodo/Glimt
15%
Draws
31%
Brann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Bodo/Glimt have won more games recently than Brann.
  • Bodo/Glimt are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bodo/Glimt, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Bodo/Glimt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 12%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt Brann
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 27 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.82 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Brann
3:1
May 9, 2026 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs Brann
4:3
Oct 29, 2025 Eliteserien
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Brann
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Eliteserien
Brann vs Bodo/Glimt
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodo/Glimt Compare

Top Goalscorer Brynhildsen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Helmersen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Brann Compare

Top Goalscorer Myhre F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingason K. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 65 / 100
Brann 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt Brann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodo/Glimt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodo/Glimt scored in 88% of their last 34 games.

Brann has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bodo/Glimt remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS Brann
2.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2
Rosenborg
26 Aug
Fauske Sprint
0 : 5
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 7

Brann

(Away)
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
27 Aug
Brann
3 : 2
PAOK
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Spjelkavik 2
Brattvag 4
Forde 0
Hodd 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 4
Alta 3
Finnsnes 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asker 3
Skeid 0
Vestfossen 1
Mjondalen 5
Bjarg 2
Sogndal 0
Vidar 1
V. Haugesund 4
Gamle Oslo 2
Eidsvold TF 1
Baerum 0
Stabaek 5
Flint 0
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Vigor 0
Start 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Sandviken 0
Gneist IL 2
Asane 3
Strindheim 2
Stjordals Blink 3
Traeff 1
Aalesund 4
Arendal 3
Jerv 2
Flekkeroy 1
Egersund 2
Follo 6
Notodden 2
Nordstrand 1
Lyn 3
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Ull/Kisa 0
Strommen 2
Pors 1
Odds BK 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 2
Ranheim 1
Nardo 0
Levanger 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 3
Sotra 2
Madla IL 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Honefoss 3
Raufoss 0
Lorenskog 1
Lillestrom 4
Junkeren 3
Rana FK 1
Brumunddal 1
Kongsvinger 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 1
Grorud 0
Rade 0
Moss 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/32-finals
Brattvag 5
Hodd 4
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
Asker 1
Mjondalen 4
Bjarg 2
V. Haugesund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Stabaek 4
Eik-Tonsberg 3
Start 0
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Asane 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Aalesund 2
Arendal 2
Egersund 3
Follo 0
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Strommen 2
Odds BK 3
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 1
Levanger 3
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 2
Sandnes Ulf 6
Honefoss 2
Lillestrom 3
Junkeren 0
Kongsvinger 4
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 2
Moss 1
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/16-finals
Brattvag 1
Bryne 2
Haugesund 1
Rosenborg 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 6
Sandefjord 1
Brann 5
Mjondalen 1
Bjarg 6
Stabaek 1
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Viking 2
Lysekloster 1
Aalesund 3
Egersund 3
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset 1
Molde 2
Odds BK 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Levanger 1
Ham-Kam 5
Sandnes Ulf 1
Lillestrom 2
Kongsvinger 1
KFUM Oslo 3
Tromso 2
Kristiansund 1
Valerenga 1
Fredrikstad 2
Kjelsas 5
Sarpsborg 08 6
1/8-finals
Bryne 4
Rosenborg 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 2
Brann 3
Bjarg 0
Viking 3
Aalesund 3
Egersund 2
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Ham-Kam 0
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 2
Tromso 1
Fredrikstad 2
Sarpsborg 08 1
Quarter-finals
Bryne 1
Brann 2
Viking 1
Aalesund 2
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 0
KFUM Oslo 3
Fredrikstad 2
Semi-finals
Brann 2
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
KFUM Oslo 1
Final
Brann 3
Bodo/Glimt 4