Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Ghebreyohannes F.
45' Event
Blomberg O.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Laghzaoui S. In: Wesseh G.
Out: Laghzaoui S.

AI Match Summary

Bodo/Glimt in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bodo/Glimt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bodo/Glimt
6%
Draws
4%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bodo/Glimt lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
  • Win probability leans Bodo/Glimt's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bodo/Glimt have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 68%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt Fredrikstad
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 27 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 3.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
5:0
Jul 16, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
2:2
Apr 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 95 / 100
Fredrikstad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodo/Glimt scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

Solid form: Bodo/Glimt remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Fredrikstad let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS Fredrikstad
3.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
12 Jul
KFUM Oslo
0 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
28 Jun
Molde
1 : 4
Bodo/Glimt
29 May
Rosenborg
2 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
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Fredrikstad

(Away)
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
20 Jun
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Viking13110233:1333
2Bodo/Glimt14102234:1132
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1362521:1720
6Brann1461728:2219
7Sarpsborg 081353514:1618
8Ham-Kam1353520:2518
9Valerenga1352619:2217
10Rosenborg1343615:1815
11Sandefjord1343613:1715
12Fredrikstad1342715:2314
13KFUM Oslo1333713:2112
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1333711:2112
16Start1414914:337
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)