Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026 Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Wed, Apr 22, 2026
2 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Haltvik T. In: Kristensen B.
Out: Haltvik T.
34' Event
Sjokvist S.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Gundersen J. In: Aleesami H.
Out: Gundersen J.

AI Match Summary

Bodo/Glimt in this NM Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bodo/Glimt
15%
Draws
27%
KFUM Oslo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bodo/Glimt lately — more wins on the board than KFUM Oslo.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Bodo/Glimt taking it.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bodo/Glimt, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bodo/Glimt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 20%
KFUM Oslo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt KFUM Oslo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 25 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt
0:2
Apr 22, 2026 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo
2:1
Nov 21, 2025 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs KFUM Oslo
3:0
Jul 27, 2024 Eliteserien
KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodo/Glimt Compare

Top Goalscorer Helmersen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

KFUM Oslo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 85 / 100
KFUM Oslo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt KFUM Oslo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodo/Glimt scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Bodo/Glimt went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: KFUM Oslo conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS KFUM Oslo
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
08 Aug
Valerenga
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
04 Aug
Royale Union SG
3 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Lillestrom
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
Page 1 of 7

KFUM Oslo

(Away)
07 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 1
KFUM Oslo
02 Aug
KFUM Oslo
2 : 1
Kristiansund
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
12 Jul
KFUM Oslo
0 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Spjelkavik 2
Brattvag 4
Forde 0
Hodd 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 4
Alta 3
Finnsnes 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asker 3
Skeid 0
Vestfossen 1
Mjondalen 5
Bjarg 2
Sogndal 0
Vidar 1
V. Haugesund 4
Gamle Oslo 2
Eidsvold TF 1
Baerum 0
Stabaek 5
Flint 0
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Vigor 0
Start 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Sandviken 0
Gneist IL 2
Asane 3
Strindheim 2
Stjordals Blink 3
Traeff 1
Aalesund 4
Arendal 3
Jerv 2
Flekkeroy 1
Egersund 2
Follo 6
Notodden 2
Nordstrand 1
Lyn 3
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Ull/Kisa 0
Strommen 2
Pors 1
Odds BK 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 2
Ranheim 1
Nardo 0
Levanger 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 3
Sotra 2
Madla IL 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Honefoss 3
Raufoss 0
Lorenskog 1
Lillestrom 4
Junkeren 3
Rana FK 1
Brumunddal 1
Kongsvinger 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 1
Grorud 0
Rade 0
Moss 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/32-finals
Brattvag 5
Hodd 4
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
Asker 1
Mjondalen 4
Bjarg 2
V. Haugesund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Stabaek 4
Eik-Tonsberg 3
Start 0
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Asane 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Aalesund 2
Arendal 2
Egersund 3
Follo 0
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Strommen 2
Odds BK 3
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 1
Levanger 3
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 2
Sandnes Ulf 6
Honefoss 2
Lillestrom 3
Junkeren 0
Kongsvinger 4
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 2
Moss 1
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/16-finals
Brattvag 1
Bryne 2
Haugesund 1
Rosenborg 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 6
Sandefjord 1
Brann 5
Mjondalen 1
Bjarg 6
Stabaek 1
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Viking 2
Lysekloster 1
Aalesund 3
Egersund 3
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset 1
Molde 2
Odds BK 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Levanger 1
Ham-Kam 5
Sandnes Ulf 1
Lillestrom 2
Kongsvinger 1
KFUM Oslo 3
Tromso 2
Kristiansund 1
Valerenga 1
Fredrikstad 2
Kjelsas 5
Sarpsborg 08 6
1/8-finals
Bryne 4
Rosenborg 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 2
Brann 3
Bjarg 0
Viking 3
Aalesund 3
Egersund 2
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Ham-Kam 0
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 2
Tromso 1
Fredrikstad 2
Sarpsborg 08 1
Quarter-finals
Bryne 1
Brann 2
Viking 1
Aalesund 2
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 0
KFUM Oslo 3
Fredrikstad 2
Semi-finals
Brann 2
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
KFUM Oslo 1
Final
Brann 3
Bodo/Glimt 4