Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026 Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Bodo/Glimt Logo

Bodo/Glimt

4 - 0
FT
Lillestrom Logo

Lillestrom

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Felix Va
38' Event
Hogh K.
Assist: Evjen H.
46'
Sub
Haikin N. In: Lund J.
Out: Haikin N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Bodo/Glimt advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bodo/Glimt
11%
Draws
9%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Lillestrom haven't matched Bodo/Glimt's recent run of results.
  • Bodo/Glimt are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bodo/Glimt, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bodo/Glimt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 20%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 26 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 3.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Bodo/Glimt
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
4:0
Dec 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
5:2
May 1, 2024 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
2:4
Apr 14, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Bodo/Glimt
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodo/Glimt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogh K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Auklend S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 76 / 100
Lillestrom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodo/Glimt found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Bodo/Glimt went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lillestrom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS Lillestrom
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
12 Jul
KFUM Oslo
0 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
Page 1 of 7

Lillestrom

(Away)
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Spjelkavik2
Brattvag4
Forde0
Hodd2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind4
Alta3
Finnsnes0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)8
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Asker3
Skeid0
Vestfossen1
Mjondalen5
Bjarg2
Sogndal0
Vidar1
V. Haugesund4
Gamle Oslo2
Eidsvold TF1
Baerum0
Stabaek5
Flint0
Eik-Tonsberg1
Vigor0
Start3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Sandviken0
Gneist IL2
Asane3
Strindheim2
Stjordals Blink3
Traeff1
Aalesund4
Arendal3
Jerv2
Flekkeroy1
Egersund2
Follo6
Notodden2
Nordstrand1
Lyn3
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Ull/Kisa0
Strommen2
Pors1
Odds BK3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade2
Ranheim1
Nardo0
Levanger6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19193
Sotra2
Madla IL1
Sandnes Ulf2
Honefoss3
Raufoss0
Lorenskog1
Lillestrom4
Junkeren3
Rana FK1
Brumunddal1
Kongsvinger5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas1
Grorud0
Rade0
Moss1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/32-finals
Brattvag5
Hodd4
TBD-
Bryne-
Haugesund-
TBD-
TBD-
Rosenborg-
Ulfstind2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)5
TBD-
Sandefjord-
Brann-
TBD-
Asker1
Mjondalen4
Bjarg2
V. Haugesund1
Gamle Oslo1
Stabaek4
Eik-Tonsberg3
Start0
TBD-
Viking-
Lysekloster3
Asane0
Stjordals Blink1
Aalesund2
Arendal2
Egersund3
Follo0
Lyn2
Stromsgodset-
TBD-
TBD-
Molde-
Strommen2
Odds BK3
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Trygg/Lade1
Levanger3
TBD-
Ham-Kam-
Djerv 19192
Sandnes Ulf6
Honefoss2
Lillestrom3
Junkeren0
Kongsvinger4
TBD-
KFUM Oslo-
Tromso-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiansund-
Valerenga-
TBD-
TBD-
Fredrikstad-
Kjelsas2
Moss1
TBD-
Sarpsborg 08-
1/16-finals
Brattvag1
Bryne2
Haugesund1
Rosenborg4
Tromsdalen (TUIL)6
Sandefjord1
Brann5
Mjondalen1
Bjarg6
Stabaek1
Eik-Tonsberg0
Viking2
Lysekloster1
Aalesund3
Egersund3
Lyn2
Stromsgodset1
Molde2
Odds BK1
Bodo/Glimt3
Levanger1
Ham-Kam5
Sandnes Ulf1
Lillestrom2
Kongsvinger1
KFUM Oslo3
Tromso2
Kristiansund1
Valerenga1
Fredrikstad2
Kjelsas5
Sarpsborg 086
1/8-finals
Bryne4
Rosenborg2
Tromsdalen (TUIL)2
Brann3
Bjarg0
Viking3
Aalesund3
Egersund2
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt2
Ham-Kam0
Lillestrom2
KFUM Oslo2
Tromso1
Fredrikstad2
Sarpsborg 081
Quarter-finals
Bryne1
Brann2
Viking1
Aalesund2
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom0
KFUM Oslo3
Fredrikstad2
Semi-finals
Brann2
Aalesund1
Bodo/Glimt2
KFUM Oslo1
Final
Brann3
Bodo/Glimt4