Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026 Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Bodo/Glimt Logo

Bodo/Glimt

4 - 0
FT
Lillestrom Logo

Lillestrom

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Felix Va
38' Event
Hogh K.
Assist: Evjen H.
46'
Sub
Haikin N. In: Lund J.
Out: Haikin N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Bodo/Glimt advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bodo/Glimt
15%
Draws
42%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Lillestrom haven't matched Bodo/Glimt's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bodo/Glimt, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bodo/Glimt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 15%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 24 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.83 1.24
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
4:0
Apr 26, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Bodo/Glimt
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
4:0
Dec 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
5:2
May 1, 2024 NM Cup
Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodo/Glimt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hogh K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Auklend S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 31 / 100
Lillestrom 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodo/Glimt found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Lillestrom let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Bodo/Glimt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS Lillestrom
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2
Rosenborg
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom

(Away)
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
02 Sept
Aurskog/Finstadbru
0 : 3
Lillestrom
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Spjelkavik 2
Brattvag 4
Forde 0
Hodd 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 4
Alta 3
Finnsnes 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asker 3
Skeid 0
Vestfossen 1
Mjondalen 5
Bjarg 2
Sogndal 0
Vidar 1
V. Haugesund 4
Gamle Oslo 2
Eidsvold TF 1
Baerum 0
Stabaek 5
Flint 0
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Vigor 0
Start 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Sandviken 0
Gneist IL 2
Asane 3
Strindheim 2
Stjordals Blink 3
Traeff 1
Aalesund 4
Arendal 3
Jerv 2
Flekkeroy 1
Egersund 2
Follo 6
Notodden 2
Nordstrand 1
Lyn 3
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Ull/Kisa 0
Strommen 2
Pors 1
Odds BK 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 2
Ranheim 1
Nardo 0
Levanger 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 3
Sotra 2
Madla IL 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Honefoss 3
Raufoss 0
Lorenskog 1
Lillestrom 4
Junkeren 3
Rana FK 1
Brumunddal 1
Kongsvinger 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 1
Grorud 0
Rade 0
Moss 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/32-finals
Brattvag 5
Hodd 4
TBD -
Bryne -
Haugesund -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosenborg -
Ulfstind 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 5
TBD -
Sandefjord -
Brann -
TBD -
Asker 1
Mjondalen 4
Bjarg 2
V. Haugesund 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Stabaek 4
Eik-Tonsberg 3
Start 0
TBD -
Viking -
Lysekloster 3
Asane 0
Stjordals Blink 1
Aalesund 2
Arendal 2
Egersund 3
Follo 0
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset -
TBD -
TBD -
Molde -
Strommen 2
Odds BK 3
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Trygg/Lade 1
Levanger 3
TBD -
Ham-Kam -
Djerv 1919 2
Sandnes Ulf 6
Honefoss 2
Lillestrom 3
Junkeren 0
Kongsvinger 4
TBD -
KFUM Oslo -
Tromso -
TBD -
TBD -
Kristiansund -
Valerenga -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Kjelsas 2
Moss 1
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 -
1/16-finals
Brattvag 1
Bryne 2
Haugesund 1
Rosenborg 4
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 6
Sandefjord 1
Brann 5
Mjondalen 1
Bjarg 6
Stabaek 1
Eik-Tonsberg 0
Viking 2
Lysekloster 1
Aalesund 3
Egersund 3
Lyn 2
Stromsgodset 1
Molde 2
Odds BK 1
Bodo/Glimt 3
Levanger 1
Ham-Kam 5
Sandnes Ulf 1
Lillestrom 2
Kongsvinger 1
KFUM Oslo 3
Tromso 2
Kristiansund 1
Valerenga 1
Fredrikstad 2
Kjelsas 5
Sarpsborg 08 6
1/8-finals
Bryne 4
Rosenborg 2
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 2
Brann 3
Bjarg 0
Viking 3
Aalesund 3
Egersund 2
Molde 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
Ham-Kam 0
Lillestrom 2
KFUM Oslo 2
Tromso 1
Fredrikstad 2
Sarpsborg 08 1
Quarter-finals
Bryne 1
Brann 2
Viking 1
Aalesund 2
Bodo/Glimt 4
Lillestrom 0
KFUM Oslo 3
Fredrikstad 2
Semi-finals
Brann 2
Aalesund 1
Bodo/Glimt 2
KFUM Oslo 1
Final
Brann 3
Bodo/Glimt 4