Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bodo/Glimt vs Molde

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Gulbrandsen F.
41'
Posiadala A.
46'
Sub
Christensen J. In: Hoff V.
Out: Christensen J.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Bodo/Glimt and Molde finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bodo/Glimt
6%
Draws
4%
Molde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bodo/Glimt come out ahead of Molde on wins alone.
  • Bodo/Glimt are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 18%
Molde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodo/Glimt Molde
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 23 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
1:4
May 4, 2026 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Molde
0:1
Mar 5, 2026 NM Cup
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Molde
4:1
Apr 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Bodo/Glimt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodo/Glimt Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulbrandsen F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodo/Glimt 85 / 100
Molde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodo/Glimt Molde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bodo/Glimt scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bodo/Glimt remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Molde let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bodo/Glimt VS Molde
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodo/Glimt

(Home)
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Lillestrom
26 Jul
Sandefjord
0 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
12 Jul
KFUM Oslo
0 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

Molde

(Away)
26 Jul
KFUM Oslo
2 : 4
Molde
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
28 Jun
Molde
1 : 4
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt16122241:1138
2Viking15121237:1437
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1581622:1825
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Ham-Kam1563623:2621
8Valerenga1562722:2720
9Brann1561830:2519
10Rosenborg1453619:1818
11Fredrikstad1552816:2717
12Sandefjord1543813:2115
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start16241016:3710
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)