Sport Picks

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Bodrumspor vs Sariyer

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Bodrum İlçe Stadı, Bodrum
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Aydogmus B.
46'
Sub
Turk A. In: Yavuzay B.
Out: Turk A.
46'
Sub
Imeri O. In: Habesoglu A.
Out: Imeri O.

AI Match Summary

Sariyer in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sariyer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Bodrumspor
35%
Draws
41%
Sariyer
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sariyer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Sariyer have won more games recently than Bodrumspor.
  • Model gives Bodrumspor a 24% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bodrumspor Clean Sheet 20%
Sariyer Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bodrumspor Sariyer
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 1. Lig
Bodrumspor vs Sariyer
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 1. Lig
Sariyer vs Bodrumspor
1:0
Mar 5, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Bodrumspor vs Sariyer
3:0
Oct 31, 2021 2. Lig Red Group
Sariyer vs Bodrumspor
1:2
Mar 17, 2019 2. Lig White Group
Sariyer vs Bodrumspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bodrumspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sariyer Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayram O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bodrumspor 49 / 100
Sariyer 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bodrumspor Sariyer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bodrumspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bodrumspor found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Bodrumspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sariyer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bodrumspor VS Sariyer
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bodrumspor

(Home)
20 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 1
Bodrumspor
12 Sept
Bodrumspor
4 : 0
Batman Petrolspor
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Manisa FK
0 : 0
Bodrumspor
Page 1 of 7

Sariyer

(Away)
19 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 1
Boluspor
11 Sept
Sariyer
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
05 Sept
Keciorengucu
3 : 0
Sariyer
01 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 0
Pendikspor
28 Aug
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sariyer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erzurumspor FK 38 23 12 3 82:27 81
2 Amedspor 38 21 11 6 81:42 74
3 Erokspor 38 21 11 6 81:35 74
4 Corum FK 38 21 8 9 63:39 71
5 Bodrumspor 38 18 10 10 71:39 64
6 Pendikspor 38 16 15 7 58:33 63
7 Keciorengucu 38 16 12 10 73:43 60
8 Bandirmaspor 38 16 12 10 47:34 60
9 Manisa FK 38 16 7 15 57:56 55
10 Sivasspor 38 14 11 13 47:43 53
11 Istanbulspor AS 38 13 13 12 57:55 52
12 Sariyer 38 15 7 16 44:44 52
13 Igdir FK 38 13 11 14 52:54 50
14 Vanspor FK 38 13 10 15 52:47 49
15 Boluspor 38 14 6 18 61:57 48
16 Umraniyespor 38 13 7 18 47:51 46
17 Serik Spor 38 11 6 21 44:75 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 8 10 20 45:72 34
19 Hatayspor 38 2 8 28 33:102 14
20 Adanademirspor 38 1 3 34 22:169 -54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)