Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Bogen in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bogen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kottern-St. Mang
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Bogen haven't matched Kottern-St. Mang's recent run of results.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Kottern-St. Mang taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bogen Clean Sheet 20%
Kottern-St. Mang Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bogen | Kottern-St. Mang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 41 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Kottern-St. Mang
5:2
Aug 13, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Bogen
1:1
Mar 26, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Kottern-St. Mang vs Bogen
3:0
Aug 29, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Kottern-St. Mang
3:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bogen 10 / 100
Kottern-St. Mang 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bogen Kottern-St. Mang
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kottern-St. Mang Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Kottern-St. Mang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 41 matches.
Bogen found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Bogen remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Kottern-St. Mang
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bogen
(Home) 08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0 Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1 SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0 Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2 Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0 Bogen
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03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1 SB Chiemgau Traunstein
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2 Ismaning
06 May
Bogen
0 : 0 Hankofen-Hailing
03 May
Bogen
5 : 2 Kottern-St. Mang
22 Apr
Bogen
0 : 1 Gundelfingen
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Kottern-St. Mang
(Away) 19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0 Ismaning
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
05 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
2 : 1 Kirchanschoring
29 Aug
Gundelfingen
1 : 1 Kottern-St. Mang
21 Aug
Kottern-St. Mang
0 : 1 TSV 1880 Wasserburg
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11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
29 Aug
Gundelfingen
1 : 1 Kottern-St. Mang
18 Aug
Deisenhofen
0 : 0 Kottern-St. Mang
08 Aug
Hankofen-Hailing
2 : 1 Kottern-St. Mang
25 Jul
Schalding
4 : 2 Kottern-St. Mang
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pullach | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 73:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Unterfohring | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 62:42 | 69 |
| 3 | Pipinsried | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 55:38 | 63 |
| 4 | TSV Schwabmunchen | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:43 | 60 |
| 5 | Dachau | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:49 | 60 |
| 6 | Vilzing | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:48 | 52 |
| 7 | Heimstetten | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 68:52 | 52 |
| 8 | Kirchanschoring | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40:39 | 48 |
| 9 | Sonthofen | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 55:44 | 47 |
| 10 | Rain/Lech | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 64:58 | 46 |
| 11 | Ismaning | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 52:52 | 42 |
| 12 | Kottern-St. Mang | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 64:72 | 39 |
| 13 | Hankofen-Hailing | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 36:57 | 35 |
| 14 | Wolfratshausen | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 44:66 | 34 |
| 15 | Landsberg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | 34 |
| 16 | Regensburg II | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 53:56 | 33 |
| 17 | Bogen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 34:62 | 31 |
| 18 | Gundelfingen | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 39:67 | 27 |
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
