Sport Picks
Bognor Regis vs East Thurrock Utd
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022 
Match Events
23'
23'
Bridgman A.
90'
90'
Wyss B.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bognor Regis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bognor Regis have won more games recently than East Thurrock Utd.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Bognor Regis taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 14%
East Thurrock Utd Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bognor Regis | East Thurrock Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs East Thurrock Utd
1:1
Aug 21, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Bognor Regis
2:2
Apr 17, 2021 Isthmian League Premier Division
East Thurrock Utd vs Bognor Regis
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs East Thurrock Utd
4:0
Apr 4, 2020 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs East Thurrock Utd
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bognor Regis Compare
Top Goalscorer Bridgman A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
East Thurrock Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Wyss B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bognor Regis 84 / 100
East Thurrock Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bognor Regis East Thurrock Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bognor Regis scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
East Thurrock Utd has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Bognor Regis stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bognor Regis VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bognor Regis
(Home) 12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1 Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0 South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1 Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4 Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2 Bognor Regis
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0 South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1 Chichester City
11 Jul
Bognor Regis
4 : 1 Hamble
08 Jul
Bognor Regis
3 : 0 Fareham
04 Jul
Bognor Regis
0 : 1 Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 4
East Thurrock Utd
(Away) 09 Sept
AFC Dunstable
: East Thurrock Utd
24 Sept
Cray Valley
5 : 3 East Thurrock Utd
17 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
0 : 3 Biggleswade Town
13 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
3 : 1 Sutton Common Rovers
03 Sept
East Thurrock Utd
2 : 1 Biggleswade FC
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
AFC Dunstable
: East Thurrock Utd
24 Sept
Cray Valley
5 : 3 East Thurrock Utd
20 Apr
Cray Wanderers
4 : 1 East Thurrock Utd
09 Apr
Bognor Regis
1 : 1 East Thurrock Utd
26 Mar
Corinthian-Casuals
1 : 2 East Thurrock Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 42 | 31 | 4 | 7 | 100:45 | 97 |
| 2 | Stortford | 42 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 89:33 | 87 |
| 3 | Enfield Town | 42 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 91:57 | 84 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 42 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 89:42 | 81 |
| 5 | Cheshunt | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 71:40 | 76 |
| 6 | Folkestone | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 85:62 | 72 |
| 7 | Lewes | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 89:63 | 70 |
| 8 | Margate | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 60:62 | 65 |
| 9 | Bognor Regis | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 62:58 | 59 |
| 10 | Kingstonian | 42 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 68:71 | 59 |
| 11 | Horsham FC | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 66:58 | 57 |
| 12 | Carshalton | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 65:57 | 57 |
| 13 | Potters | 42 | 16 | 5 | 21 | 54:74 | 53 |
| 14 | Corinthian-Casuals | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 51:58 | 52 |
| 15 | Wingate & Finchley | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 60:74 | 49 |
| 16 | Bowers & Pitsea | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 54:72 | 45 |
| 17 | Haringey Borough | 42 | 9 | 15 | 18 | 57:81 | 42 |
| 18 | Brightlingsea | 42 | 11 | 6 | 25 | 44:92 | 39 |
| 19 | Cray Wanderers | 42 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 64:85 | 36 |
| 20 | Leatherhead | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 43:83 | 36 |
| 21 | East Thurrock Utd | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 44:98 | 35 |
| 22 | Merstham | 42 | 10 | 3 | 29 | 43:84 | 33 |
Promotion - National League South 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
