Sport Picks
Bognor Regis vs Horsham FC Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 
Match Events
18'
18'
Smith L.
48'
48'
Whyte H.
Own Goal
81'
81'
Barker D. R.
AI Match Summary
The Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Bognor Regis and Horsham FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horsham FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bognor Regis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Horsham FC come out ahead of Bognor Regis on wins alone.
- Bognor Regis are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Horsham FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 20%
Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bognor Regis | Horsham FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 35 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Horsham FC
1:3
Dec 26, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Bognor Regis
2:1
Apr 1, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Horsham FC vs Bognor Regis
5:4
Dec 26, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Horsham FC
2:0
Dec 26, 2022 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Horsham FC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bognor Regis Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73
Horsham FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Barker D. R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fenelon S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bognor Regis 67 / 100
Horsham FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bognor Regis Horsham FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bognor Regis scored in 82% of their last 33 games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Horsham FC let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.
Solid form: Bognor Regis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bognor Regis VS Horsham FC
1.8 Goals Scored 1.13
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bognor Regis
(Home) 12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1 Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0 South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1 Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4 Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2 Bognor Regis
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0 South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1 Chichester City
11 Jul
Bognor Regis
4 : 1 Hamble
08 Jul
Bognor Regis
3 : 0 Fareham
04 Jul
Bognor Regis
0 : 1 Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 4
Horsham FC
(Away) 03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1 Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Horsham FC
12 Sept
Horsham FC
1 : 4 Chesham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1 Horsham FC
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1 Horsham FC
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0 Horsham FC
19 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 3 Horsham FC
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1 Horsham FC
22 Aug
Braintree
1 : 2 Horsham FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Horsham FC | 42 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 82:40 | 87 |
| 2 | Billericay | 42 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 83:42 | 87 |
| 3 | Dartford | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 77:49 | 84 |
| 4 | Cray Valley | 42 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 80:56 | 77 |
| 5 | Dover Ath. | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 83:48 | 76 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 42 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 72:59 | 73 |
| 7 | Carshalton | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 72:54 | 70 |
| 8 | Hashtag | 42 | 18 | 10 | 14 | 82:71 | 64 |
| 9 | Chatham | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 74:53 | 63 |
| 10 | Cray Wanderers | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 58:52 | 61 |
| 11 | Wingate & Finchley | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 76:67 | 60 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 61:66 | 58 |
| 13 | Lewes | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 59:64 | 58 |
| 14 | Potters | 42 | 17 | 6 | 19 | 57:75 | 57 |
| 15 | Cheshunt | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 61:69 | 49 |
| 16 | Whitehawk | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 49:66 | 49 |
| 17 | Canvey Island | 42 | 13 | 5 | 24 | 48:66 | 44 |
| 18 | Dulwich Hamlet | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 58:80 | 44 |
| 19 | Hendon | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 61:79 | 39 |
| 20 | Hastings | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 37:75 | 34 |
| 21 | Bognor Regis | 42 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 51:100 | 32 |
| 22 | Bowers & Pitsea | 42 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 34:84 | 26 |
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
