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Bognor Regis vs Potters

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Jarvis D.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Bognor Regis and Potters finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bognor Regis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bognor Regis
20%
Draws
7%
Potters
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bognor Regis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Bognor Regis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bognor Regis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 20%
Potters Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bognor Regis Potters
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.62 0.87
Goals Conceded 2 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Potters
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Potters vs Bognor Regis
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Potters
2:2
Sep 30, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Potters vs Bognor Regis
1:1
Mar 21, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Potters vs Bognor Regis
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bognor Regis Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarvis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Potters Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bognor Regis 85 / 100
Potters 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bognor Regis Potters

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bognor Regis found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Potters's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bognor Regis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bognor Regis VS Potters
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bognor Regis

(Home)
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1
Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4
Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
11 Jul
Bognor Regis
4 : 1
Hamble
08 Jul
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
Fareham
Page 1 of 6

Potters

(Away)
03 Aug
Potters
1 : 3
St. Albans
25 Apr
Whitehawk
1 : 1
Potters
18 Apr
Potters
0 : 6
Chatham
14 Apr
Welling
1 : 0
Potters
11 Apr
Potters
0 : 1
Chichester City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horsham FC 42 28 3 11 82:40 87
2 Billericay 42 26 9 7 83:42 87
3 Dartford 42 25 9 8 77:49 84
4 Cray Valley 42 23 11 8 80:56 77
5 Dover Ath. 42 23 7 12 83:48 76
6 Chichester City 42 22 7 13 72:59 73
7 Carshalton 42 20 10 12 72:54 70
8 Hashtag 42 18 10 14 82:71 64
9 Chatham 42 17 12 13 74:53 63
10 Cray Wanderers 42 18 7 17 58:52 61
11 Wingate & Finchley 42 17 9 16 76:67 60
12 Folkestone 42 17 7 18 61:66 58
13 Lewes 42 15 13 14 59:64 58
14 Potters 42 17 6 19 57:75 57
15 Cheshunt 42 14 7 21 61:69 49
16 Whitehawk 42 14 7 21 49:66 49
17 Canvey Island 42 13 5 24 48:66 44
18 Dulwich Hamlet 42 12 8 22 58:80 44
19 Hendon 42 9 12 21 61:79 39
20 Hastings 42 8 10 24 37:75 34
21 Bognor Regis 42 8 8 26 51:100 32
22 Bowers & Pitsea 42 7 5 30 34:84 26
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)