Sport Picks
Bogota vs Independiente Valle del Cauca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
37'
37'
Palacios J.
63'
63'
Sub
Arango J. In: Vanegas R.
Out: Arango J.
63'
63'
Sub
Sanchez J. In: Segura N.
Out: Sanchez J.
AI Match Summary
Independiente Valle del Cauca in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente Valle del Cauca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Independiente Valle del Cauca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Bogota haven't matched Independiente Valle del Cauca's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bogota Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bogota | Independiente Valle del Cauca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
0:2
Mar 4, 2026 Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Bogota
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bogota Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare
Top Goalscorer Palacios J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bogota 36 / 100
Independiente Valle del Cauca 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bogota Independiente Valle del Cauca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Valle del Cauca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente Valle del Cauca has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Bogota remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Bogota's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bogota VS Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bogota
(Home) 11 Oct
Bogota
0 : 0 Patriotas
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3 Envigado
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0 Bogota
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1 Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0 Bogota
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Bogota
0 : 0 Patriotas
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3 Envigado
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1 Barranquilla
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
06 Aug
Bogota
0 : 1 Leones
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Valle del Cauca
(Away) 08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Tigres Futbol Club
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1 Inter Palmira
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Aug
Real Santander
1 : 0 Independiente Valle del Cauca
07 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Bogota | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | 13 |
| 12 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 13 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
