Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogota vs Inter Palmira

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bogota play Inter Palmira in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bogota averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Inter Palmira averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Bogota won 0, Inter Palmira won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 30, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Bogota and 1.13 for Inter Palmira. This points to a Inter Palmira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bogota
25%
Draws
49%
Inter Palmira
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Inter Palmira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Bogota picked up more points recently compared to Inter Palmira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Bogota Clean Sheet 21%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Inter Palmira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Inter Palmira
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Inter Palmira
2:2
Mar 3, 2025 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Bogota
2:1
Aug 21, 2024 Primera B
Bogota vs Inter Palmira
1:2
Mar 2, 2024 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Bogota
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Inter Palmira Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mina Chara J. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 28 / 100
Inter Palmira 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Inter Palmira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inter Palmira or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bogota attacking → ← attacking Inter Palmira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogota scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Inter Palmira let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Bogota went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Inter Palmira lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 49
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237