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Bogota vs Leones

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Thu, Aug 6, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bogota host Leones in the Primera B. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Bogota have averaged 0.88 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Leones's 0.63 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Bogota have won 0 to Leones's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.76 - 0.88) back Bogota to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bogota
39%
Draws
30%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bogota lately — more wins on the board than Leones.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Bogota Clean Sheet 20%
Leones Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Leones
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Bogota
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Leones
0:1
Jun 3, 2025 Copa Colombia
Bogota vs Leones
0:0
May 17, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Bogota
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 Primera B
Leones vs Bogota
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 32 / 100
Leones 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bogota scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Leones conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Bogota stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Leones
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
29 Jul
Bogota
0 : 3
Dep. Pasto
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0
Union Magdalena
22 Jul
Dep. Pasto
0 : 1
Bogota
21 May
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Bogota
18 May
Bogota
1 : 2
Cartagena
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Leones

(Away)
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
29 May
Leones
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
16 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Leones
12 May
Leones
2 : 0
Orsomarso
08 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4 : 1
Leones
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cartagena11005:13
2Patriotas11003:13
3Ind. Yumbo11002:03
4Envigado11001:03
5Leones11001:03
6Bogota11001:03
7Boca Juniors de Cali11001:03
8Orsomarso11001:03
9Quindio10010:10
10Tigres Futbol Club10010:10
11Real Cundinamarca10010:10
12Union Magdalena10010:10
13Barranquilla10010:10
14Inter Palmira10011:30
15Atletico F.C.10010:20
16Real Santander10011:50
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)