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Bogota vs Leones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Calle T. In: Hincapie Ossa J. F.
Out: Calle T.
58'
Sub
Montoya S. In: Moreno D.
Out: Montoya S.
58'
Sub
Segura O. In: Penaloza K.
Out: Segura O.

AI Match Summary

Leones in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bogota
35%
Draws
19%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bogota lately — more wins on the board than Leones.
  • Model gives Bogota a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bogota Clean Sheet 68%
Leones Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Leones
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.86 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Leones
0:1
Feb 5, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Bogota
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera B
Bogota vs Leones
0:1
Jun 3, 2025 Copa Colombia
Bogota vs Leones
0:0
May 17, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Bogota
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leones Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 50 / 100
Leones 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bogota Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Bogota remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Leones lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Bogota's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bogota VS Leones
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogota

(Home)
05 Oct
Bogota
3 : 3
Envigado
28 Sept
Quindio
1 : 0
Bogota
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6

Leones

(Away)
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
12 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
13 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)