Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogota vs Union Magdalena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bogota play Union Magdalena in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bogota averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Union Magdalena averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Bogota won 0, Union Magdalena won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Bogota and 1.56 for Union Magdalena. This points to a Union Magdalena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Bogota
35%
Draws
41%
Union Magdalena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Bogota picked up more points recently compared to Union Magdalena.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Bogota Clean Sheet 15%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogota Union Magdalena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.81 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Apr 27, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Jul 25, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
3:2
Feb 2, 2024 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bogota Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Union Magdalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Iguaran C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogota 25 / 100
Union Magdalena 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogota Union Magdalena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Union Magdalena or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bogota attacking → ← attacking Union Magdalena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogota scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Union Magdalena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bogota went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Union Magdalena lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 52
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Envigado63216:311
2Quindio63124:310
3Inter Palmira61413:37
4Tigres Futbol Club61144:84
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cartagena64118:613
2Union Magdalena62318:49
3Barranquilla61325:66
4Bogota60333:83