Sport Picks
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
Colombia
Primera B Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
13'
13'
Gutierrez A.
18'
18'
Iguaran C.
20'
20'
Iguaran C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Magdalena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Magdalena have won more games recently than Bogota.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bogota Clean Sheet 20%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bogota | Union Magdalena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
1:0
May 21, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Apr 27, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Jul 25, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bogota Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Union Magdalena Compare
Top Goalscorer Iguaran C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bogota 32 / 100
Union Magdalena 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bogota Union Magdalena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Union Magdalena let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Union Magdalena lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Bogota's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bogota VS Union Magdalena
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bogota
(Home) 14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0 Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1 Bogota
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2 Bogota
20 Aug
Cartagena
2 : 0 Bogota
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
06 Aug
Bogota
0 : 1 Leones
29 Jul
Bogota
0 : 3 Dep. Pasto
25 Jul
Bogota
1 : 0 Union Magdalena
18 May
Bogota
1 : 2 Cartagena
Page 1 of 3
Union Magdalena
(Away) 18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2 Barranquilla
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1 Union Magdalena
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2 Quindio
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1 Union Magdalena
24 Aug
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0 Union Magdalena
06 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 0 Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Quindio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tigres Futbol Club | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Bogota | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)
