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Bohemians vs Galway United Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Dalymount Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Keohane J.
23' Event
Whelan C.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Bolger A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Bohemians and Galway United finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bohemians
20%
Draws
28%
Galway United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bohemians come out ahead of Galway United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bohemians a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 14%
Galway United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bohemians Galway United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.84 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Bohemians
2:3
Aug 2, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Galway United
1:1
May 22, 2026 Premier Division
Galway United vs Bohemians
2:4
Mar 13, 2026 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Galway United
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 Premier Division
Galway United vs Bohemians
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bohemians Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Galway United Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolger A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bohemians 39 / 100
Galway United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bohemians Galway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bohemians Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bohemians scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Galway United has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bohemians went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bohemians VS Galway United
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bohemians

(Home)
26 Sept
Bohemians
0 : 0
Bohemians 1905
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
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Galway United

(Away)
25 Sept
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0
Galway United
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Patricks 32 17 8 7 52:25 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 31 17 8 6 49:31 59
3 Bohemians 31 16 8 7 55:37 56
4 Derry City 32 9 14 9 45:42 41
5 Dundalk 32 10 11 11 49:53 41
6 Shelbourne 32 9 13 10 42:45 40
7 Galway United 32 9 11 12 42:48 38
8 Waterford 32 7 13 12 44:54 34
9 Drogheda 32 8 10 14 38:51 34
10 Sligo Rovers 32 5 8 19 24:54 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)