Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Vaughan H.
14'
14'
Morahan N.
18'
18'
Whelan C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bohemians
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Bohemians carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bohemians are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Bohemians have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bohemians, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 19%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bohemians | Longford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.72 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 FAI Cup
Bohemians vs Longford
4:0
Jan 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Bohemians vs Longford
2:1
Feb 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Bohemians vs Longford
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Bohemians vs Longford
1:0
Feb 1, 2022 Club Friendly
Bohemians vs Longford
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bohemians Compare
Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Vaughan H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Longford Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bohemians 42 / 100
Longford 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bohemians Longford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bohemians scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Longford let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Bohemians stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bohemians VS Longford
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bohemians
(Home) 09 Oct
Bohemians
0 : 2 Waterford
02 Oct
Dundalk
1 : 2 Bohemians
26 Sept
Bohemians
0 : 0 Bohemians 1905
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1 Drogheda
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3 Bohemians
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Bohemians
0 : 2 Waterford
26 Sept
Bohemians
0 : 0 Bohemians 1905
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1 Drogheda
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0 Sligo Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3 Derry City
Page 1 of 4
Longford
(Away) 09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1 Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3 Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1 Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2 Treaty United
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
UC Dublin
1 : 1 Longford
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3 Longford
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Longford
28 Aug
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 2 Longford
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0 Longford
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Liffey Wanderers 1
Ringmahon Rangers 2
TBD -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 2
Leicester Celtic AFC 0
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Athlone -
TBD -
Midleton 2
Mayfield Utd 0
St. Michaels 1
Janesboro 3
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Kerry -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Bangor Celtic 4
River Valley Rangers 1
College Corinthians 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
Drogheda -
TBD -
Lucan Utd 5
University College Cork 2
Galway United -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd 4
Salthill 0
Finn Harps -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Derry City -
TBD -
Fairview Rangers 0
Tolka 3
Wayside Celtic 3
St Mochta's 4
TBD -
Dundalk -
Douglas Hall 1
Fanad United 0
Castlebar Celtic 3
North End United 0
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 2
Wexford 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Cork City 1
Ringmahon Rangers -
Bohemians -
Baldoyle Utd. 0
Longford 8
Waterford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Athlone 3
Midleton 0
Janesboro 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 3
Shelbourne 2
Bangor Celtic 4
College Corinthians 5
Drogheda 4
Lucan Utd 0
Galway United 4
Crumlin Utd 0
Finn Harps 0
Bray 1
Treaty United 1
UC Dublin 2
Derry City 3
Tolka 0
St Mochta's 1
Dundalk 3
Douglas Hall 0
Castlebar Celtic 1
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
Bohemians 4
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Athlone 1
Sligo Rovers 4
Kerry 0
College Corinthians 0
Drogheda 3
Galway United 2
Bray 1
UC Dublin 1
Derry City 2
Dundalk 8
Castlebar Celtic 0
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 1
Bohemians 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 0
Drogheda 1
Galway United 2
Derry City 4
Dundalk 2
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Waterford 2
Galway United -
Derry City -
Final
Waterford -
TBD -
