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Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
50' Event
Sahman I.
66' Event

AI Match Summary

Bokelj in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bokelj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bokelj
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal Tivat
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bokelj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arsenal Tivat lately — more wins on the board than Bokelj.
  • Win probability leans Bokelj's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Bokelj Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bokelj Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat
3:1
May 16, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat
3:0
Mar 15, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Bokelj vs Arsenal Tivat
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Arsenal Tivat vs Bokelj
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bokelj Compare

Top Goalscorer Krivokapic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahman I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bokelj 85 / 100
Arsenal Tivat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bokelj Arsenal Tivat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bokelj found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Arsenal Tivat let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bokelj stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bokelj VS Arsenal Tivat
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%