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Boldmere St Michaels vs Grantham Town

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Boldmere St Michaels advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Boldmere St Michaels
15%
Draws
39%
Grantham Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Boldmere St Michaels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Boldmere St Michaels haven't matched Grantham Town's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boldmere St Michaels's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Grantham Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Boldmere St Michaels, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Boldmere St Michaels Clean Sheet 20%
Grantham Town Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boldmere St Michaels Grantham Town
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.95 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 FA Trophy
Boldmere St Michaels vs Grantham Town
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boldmere St Michaels 42 / 100
Grantham Town 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boldmere St Michaels Grantham Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boldmere St Michaels found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Grantham Town conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Boldmere St Michaels stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Boldmere St Michaels VS Grantham Town
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.4
38% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Boldmere St Michaels

(Home)
19 Sept
Barton Town
3 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
12 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
1 : 3
Bedworth United
08 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
Bourne
05 Sept
Bourne
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
29 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
St Ives Town
Page 1 of 5

Grantham Town

(Away)
29 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 3
Mickleover
08 Jul
Grantham Town
2 : 0
Lincoln Utd.
14 Sept
Gainsborough
2 : 1
Grantham Town
07 Sept
Grantham Town
0 : 2
Coleshill Town
31 Aug
Grantham Town
1 : 0
Newark and Sherwood
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Avro 2
Winterton Rangers 1
Trafford 1
Stalybridge 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Bootle 6
Consett 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
North Ferriby FC 2
Ossett United 1
Prescot Cables 4
Bridlington Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liversedge 0
Nantwich 3
Dunston 3
Ashington 0
Lancaster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
1874 Northwich 1
Runcorn Linnets 0
Witton Albion 1
Hanley Town 2
Cleethorpes 0
Sheffield FC 2
Spalding United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 2
Hebburn Town 1
Widnes FC 0
Clitheroe 1
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mossley AFC 0
Vauxhall 2
Newton Aycliffe 1
Stocksbridge 3
Marske United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Quorn 4
Coventry Sphinx 0
Bedworth United 1
Leek Town 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
Long Eaton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Hinckley LR -
TBD -
Harborough 2
Lye Town 1
Biggleswade FC 3
Stowmarket Town 1
Hadley 4
Ware 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Anstey Nomads 2
Corby 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Boldmere St Michaels 2
Rugby 1
Grantham Town 5
Kings Langley 1
Cambridge City 2
Leighton Town 3
Kempston 1
Stafford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gresley 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 6
Sporting Khalsa 1
Grimsby Borough 0
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Matlock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Gorleston 1
Aylesbury United 2
Bedford 3
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belper Town 2
Newcastle Town 0
Hednesford 0
Walsall Wood 3
Nuneaton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 1
Carlton Town 5
Chasetown 5
Shepshed 1
Carshalton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Broadbridge Heath 0
Cray Valley 2
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Hartley Wintney 1
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudbury -
Westfield 4
Littlehampton 1
Raynes Park Vale 0
Marlow 1
Southall FC 2
Chichester City 1
Herne Bay 1
Leatherhead 6
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable -
East Thurrock Utd -
Wroxham 2
Brightlingsea 4
Harrow Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Thame United 0
Badshot Lea 5
Merstham 0
Sutton Common Rovers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Redbridge 1
Stotfold 0
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 1
Metropolitan Police 2
Ashford United 7
Binfield 1
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Waltham Abbey 6
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Heybridge 3
Barton 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 3
Basildon 5
Lowestoft 5
New Salamis FC 3
South Park 2
Erith & Belvedere 1
Beckenham Town 1
Three Bridges 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanworth Villa 1
Chertsey Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Hythe 3
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 2
Bury Town 3
Enfield FC -
Walthamstow FC -
Ramsgate 3
Northwood 0
Uxbridge 1
Sevenoaks 2
East Grinstead Town 0
Sheppey United 1
Sittingbourne 2
Ashford Town 1
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Brentwood 0
Hertford Town 3
Grays 2
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Horndean 2
Ascot United 3
Chipstead 2
Lancing 4
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Didcot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cribbs 3
Bideford 2
Evesham 1
Bashley 2
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidlington 2
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 4
Wimborne 3
Bishops Cleeve 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Thatcham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Westbury United 2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 5
Frome Town 3
Cirencester 1
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Hamworthy United 3
Melksham 0
Larkhall 2
Willand Rovers 0
Malvern Town 2
Mousehole 4
Yate 0
Tavistock 2
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Semi-finals
Avro 1
Stalybridge 0
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Stockton 0
Bootle 2
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
North Ferriby FC 3
Prescot Cables 2
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Dunston 1
Lancaster -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 2
Witton Albion 1
Hanley Town 2
Sheffield FC 1
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Brighouse Town 3
Clitheroe 2
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Gainsborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Worksop -
TBD -
Vauxhall 0
Stocksbridge 1
Marske United -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
Quorn 4
Leek Town 2
TBD -
Telford -
Long Eaton -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Hinckley LR 0
Harborough 1
Biggleswade FC 2
Hadley 1
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Kettering -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
Halesowen -
Anstey Nomads 3
Loughborough Dynamo 2
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
Grantham Town 1
Cambridge City 0
Leighton Town 2
Stafford -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Sporting Khalsa 4
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
Matlock -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Bedford 1
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Belper Town 1
Walsall Wood 2
Nuneaton -
TBD -
Carlton Town 2
Chasetown 1
Carshalton -
TBD -
Cray Valley 2
Hartley Wintney 0
Hendon -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudbury -
Westfield 2
Marlow 1
Southall FC 1
Leatherhead 3
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 2
Brightlingsea 3
Harrow Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Badshot Lea 5
Sutton Common Rovers 3
FC Witham Town 2
Redbridge 3
Beaconsfield Town -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police 1
Ashford United 2
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Waltham Abbey 1
Heybridge 5
TBD -
Chatham -
Lewes -
TBD -
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 4
South Park 2
Three Bridges 1
TBD -
Hashtag -
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Chertsey Town 2
Hythe 4
Wingate & Finchley -
TBD -
Bury Town 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ramsgate 3
Sevenoaks 1
Sheppey United 2
Sittingbourne 1
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Billericay -
TBD -
Felixstowe & Walton 6
Hertford Town 3
Whitehawk -
TBD -
Ascot United 6
Lancing 2
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Didcot -
TBD -
Cribbs 4
Bashley 3
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
Kidlington 2
Exmouth Town 1
Bishops Cleeve 3
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Frome Town 3
Swindon Supermarine -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Hamworthy United 1
Larkhall 2
Mousehole 3
Tavistock 0
Gosport Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Salisbury -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Hungerford -
Final
Avro 4
Warrington Rylands 0
Bootle 0
Bamber Bridge 2
North Ferriby FC 4
Atherton Collieries 0
Bradford PA 0
Nantwich 1
Lancaster 0
City Of Liverpool 1
Hanley Town 0
Macclesfield 1
Morpeth 1
United of Manchester 4
Ashton United 2
Brighouse Town 1
Workington 1
Hyde 3
Radcliffe 3
Whitby 2
Gainsborough 1
Guiseley 3
Worksop 2
Stocksbridge 1
Marske United 2
Marine 4
Quorn 2
Telford 0
Long Eaton 1
Stourbridge 4
Stratford 1
Basford Utd. 0
Redditch 2
Leamington 1
Harborough 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Barwell 2
Mickleover 3
St Ives Town 3
Kettering 2
Bromsgrove 0
Halesowen 2
Anstey Nomads 0
Alvechurch 1
Royston Town 1
Coalville Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Leighton Town 3
Stafford 3
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hitchin 2
Stamford 3
Matlock 1
Bedford 0
Ilkeston 2
Walsall Wood 3
Nuneaton 1
Carlton Town 0
Carshalton 1
Cray Valley 2
Hendon 3
Sudbury 1
Westfield 3
Leatherhead 1
Leiston 2
Hornchurch 1
Walton & Hersham 3
Canvey Island 1
Chesham 4
Enfield Town 3
Bognor Regis 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Horsham FC 2
Brightlingsea 0
Harrow Borough 1
Margate 0
Cheshunt 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Badshot Lea 0
Redbridge 1
Beaconsfield Town 3
Ashford United 0
Potters 4
Berkhamsted Town 1
Needham Market 0
Cray Wanderers 1
Hanwell Town 1
Bracknell Town 2
Heybridge 1
Chatham 2
Lewes 4
Lowestoft 1
South Park 2
Hashtag 0
Concord Rangers 2
Hythe 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Bury Town 1
Ramsgate 4
Sheppey United 1
Hastings 1
Kingstonian 2
Billericay 4
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Whitehawk 2
Ascot United 0
Folkestone 2
Haringey Borough 3
Didcot 1
Cribbs 2
Poole Town 3
Sholing 1
Basingstoke 3
Kidlington 0
Bishops Cleeve 1
Frome Town 5
Swindon Supermarine 3
Tiverton 1
Larkhall 2
Mousehole 0
Gosport Borough 3
Salisbury 2
Merthyr Town 3
Dorchester 1
AFC Totton 2
Plymouth Parkway 1
Winchester City 3
Hungerford 5