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Boldmere St Michaels W vs Loughborough Lightning W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North game between Boldmere St Michaels W and Loughborough Lightning W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Boldmere St Michaels W
35%
Draws
45%
Loughborough Lightning W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Loughborough Lightning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Loughborough Lightning W haven't matched Boldmere St Michaels W's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Boldmere St Michaels W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Boldmere St Michaels W Clean Sheet 11%
Loughborough Lightning W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boldmere St Michaels W Loughborough Lightning W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.64 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Women's National League North
Boldmere St Michaels W vs Loughborough Lightning W
1:1
Apr 9, 2023 Women's National League North
Boldmere St Michaels W vs Loughborough Lightning W
3:0
Oct 2, 2022 Women's National League North
Loughborough Lightning W vs Boldmere St Michaels W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boldmere St Michaels W 35 / 100
Loughborough Lightning W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boldmere St Michaels W Loughborough Lightning W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loughborough Lightning W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boldmere St Michaels W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Loughborough Lightning W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Boldmere St Michaels W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Boldmere St Michaels W VS Loughborough Lightning W
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Boldmere St Michaels W

(Home)
04 Oct
Hull City W
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Norwich W
2 : 2
Boldmere St Michaels W
30 Aug
Boldmere St Michaels W
2 : 4
Huddersfield W
23 Aug
Stoke City LFC W
5 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels W
Page 1 of 6

Loughborough Lightning W

(Away)
04 Oct
Loughborough Lightning W
2 : 3
Norwich W
20 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels W
1 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
13 Sept
Peterborough W
2 : 3
Loughborough Lightning W
30 Aug
Loughborough Lightning W
1 : 0
Stoke City LFC W
23 Aug
Huddersfield W
5 : 1
Loughborough Lightning W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rugby Borough W 6 5 0 1 12:1 15
2 Huddersfield W 6 4 2 0 16:8 14
3 West Brom W 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Stoke City LFC W 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
5 Liverpool Feds W 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
6 Norwich W 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Loughborough Lightning W 6 2 1 3 10:14 7
8 Boldmere St Michaels W 6 1 3 2 8:13 6
9 Derby W 6 2 0 4 6:11 6
10 Peterborough W 6 2 0 4 7:16 6
11 Hull City W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
12 Middlesbrough W 6 1 0 5 1:6 3
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