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Boldmere St Michaels W vs Stoke City LFC W

England England

Women's National League North 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boldmere St Michaels W play Stoke City LFC W in the Women's National League North 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boldmere St Michaels W averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.62 conceded. Stoke City LFC W averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Boldmere St Michaels W won 1, Stoke City LFC W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Boldmere St Michaels W and 2.56 for Stoke City LFC W. This points to a Stoke City LFC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Boldmere St Michaels W
15%
Draws
55%
Stoke City LFC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stoke City LFC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Boldmere St Michaels W picked up more points recently compared to Stoke City LFC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Boldmere St Michaels W Clean Sheet 10%
Stoke City LFC W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boldmere St Michaels W Stoke City LFC W
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 8 19
Draws 1 3
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2023 Women's National League North
Boldmere St Michaels W vs Stoke City LFC W
1:2
Oct 13, 2022 Women's National League North
Stoke City LFC W vs Boldmere St Michaels W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boldmere St Michaels W 29 / 100
Stoke City LFC W 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boldmere St Michaels W Stoke City LFC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City LFC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Stoke City LFC W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boldmere St Michaels W attacking → ← attacking Stoke City LFC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boldmere St Michaels W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Stoke City LFC W let in goals in 76% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Boldmere St Michaels W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Stoke City LFC W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 60
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nottingham W22173281:1854
2Wolverhampton W22173261:1754
3Burnley W22164266:2852
4Derby W22115650:3238
5Brighouse Town W2287728:2731
6Huddersfield W22751036:4326
7AFC Fylde W22751024:5426
8West Brom W22741128:4625
9Liverpool Feds W22731236:4524
10Stoke City LFC W22731232:4924
11Boldmere St Michaels W22511627:6116
12Loughborough Lightning W22031910:593