Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Cauteruccio M.
Assist: Pato Rodriguez
16'
16'
Villasanti M.
18'
18'
Matheus R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
55%
35%
10%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bolivar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bolivar have won more games recently than Gremio.
- Win probability leans Bolivar's way, sitting at 90%.
- Bolivar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bolivar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolivar | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Gremio vs Bolivar
0:1
Jul 23, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Bolivar vs Gremio
3:2
Apr 10, 2003 Copa Libertadores
Bolivar vs Gremio
1:0
Mar 13, 2003 Copa Libertadores
Gremio vs Bolivar
1:0
May 31, 1983 Copa Libertadores
Gremio vs Bolivar
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Cauteruccio M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Gremio Compare
Top Goalscorer Villasanti M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tete
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolivar 95 / 100
Gremio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolivar Gremio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bolivar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bolivar scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Bolivar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Gremio let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Bolivar VS Gremio
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolivar
(Home) 09 Oct
Blooming
1 : 1 Bolivar
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2 GV San Jose
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0 Blooming
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2 GV San Jose
27 Sept
Bolivar
3 : 0 Blooming
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
30 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 2 The Strongest
Page 1 of 3
Gremio
(Away) 07 Oct
Remo
1 : 1 Gremio
20 Sept
Gremio
0 : 0 Palmeiras
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2 Vasco
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0 Gremio
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Remo
1 : 1 Gremio
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0 Gremio
27 Aug
Internacional
0 : 0 Gremio
23 Aug
Bragantino
1 : 0 Gremio
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
