Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Cauteruccio M.
Assist: Chavez Cruz L. L.
46'
46'
Sub
Chavez Cruz L. L. In: Velasquez J.
Out: Chavez Cruz L. L.
46'
46'
Sub
Romero D. In: Melgar C. A.
Out: Romero D.
AI Match Summary
The Division Profesional game between Bolivar and Guabira finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolivar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolivar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Bolivar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bolivar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Bolivar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 20%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolivar | Guabira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Guabira
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Guabira
4:0
Apr 20, 2025 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Bolivar
2:4
Dec 20, 2024 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Guabira
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Bolivar
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Cauteruccio M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Asprilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Guabira Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolivar 85 / 100
Guabira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolivar Guabira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bolivar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 10:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bolivar scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Guabira let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Bolivar has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bolivar VS Guabira
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolivar
(Home) 20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Bolivar
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
30 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 2 The Strongest
28 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 1 Academia del Balompie
15 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 3
Guabira
(Away) 21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1 Aurora
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0 Guabira
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0 Guabira
05 Sept
Guabira
1 : 1 Real Potosi
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0 Guabira
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0 Guabira
31 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5 : 1 Guabira
27 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1 Guabira
07 Aug
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1 Guabira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Always Ready | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 47:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 54:22 | 45 |
| 3 | The Strongest | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39:22 | 42 |
| 4 | Real Potosi | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 27:14 | 32 |
| 5 | Oriente Petrolero | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:27 | 30 |
| 6 | Aurora | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 31:27 | 30 |
| 7 | Guabira | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32:39 | 29 |
| 8 | Blooming | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 30:22 | 27 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 30:28 | 27 |
| 10 | Independiente | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Real Oruro | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32:50 | 21 |
| 12 | Academia del Balompie | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 31:45 | 20 |
| 13 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 21:40 | 20 |
| 14 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:39 | 18 |
| 15 | Tomayapo | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15:39 | 16 |
| 16 | GV San Jose | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21:37 | 14 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)
