Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolivar vs Tomayapo

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Melgar C. A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Justiniano L.
Assist: Sagredo J.
45'
Justiniano L.

AI Match Summary

Bolivar in this Division Profesional matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bolivar
30%
Draws
23%
Tomayapo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bolivar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomayapo haven't matched Bolivar's recent run of results.
  • Bolivar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bolivar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 20%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivar Tomayapo
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Tomayapo
6:0
Oct 28, 2025 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs Tomayapo
5:1
Oct 22, 2025 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Bolivar
2:7
Aug 10, 2025 Division Profesional
Bolivar vs Tomayapo
5:0
Apr 6, 2025 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Bolivar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Justiniano L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Romero D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Tomayapo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivar 76 / 100
Tomayapo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivar Tomayapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bolivar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolivar scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Tomayapo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bolivar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivar VS Tomayapo
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivar

(Home)
23 Aug
Real Oruro
2 : 4
Bolivar
19 Aug
Sao Paulo
3 : 1
Bolivar
15 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
12 Aug
Bolivar
1 : 1
Sao Paulo
08 Aug
Aurora
2 : 4
Bolivar
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Tomayapo

(Away)
23 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Always Ready
14 Aug
Club Universitario de Vinto
0 : 1
Tomayapo
07 Aug
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Real Oruro
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0
Tomayapo
31 Jul
Tomayapo
1 : 1
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 16 10 5 1 33:10 35
2 Bolivar 16 10 3 3 40:18 33
3 The Strongest 16 8 6 2 26:20 30
4 Oriente Petrolero 16 8 2 6 29:20 26
5 Real Potosi 16 6 7 3 22:11 25
6 Guabira 16 7 4 5 27:28 25
7 Aurora 16 5 8 3 23:22 23
8 Blooming 16 5 7 4 21:17 22
9 Independiente 16 6 4 6 22:24 22
10 Nacional Potosi 16 6 3 7 25:21 21
11 Academia del Balompie 16 5 2 9 26:33 17
12 Real Oruro 16 5 2 9 29:42 17
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 16 5 2 9 18:32 17
14 GV San Jose 16 2 7 7 16:24 13
15 Tomayapo 16 3 4 9 12:32 13
16 Club Universitario de Vinto 16 3 2 11 20:35 11
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)