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Bolivia W vs Ecuador W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Municipal de El Alto (Villa Ingenio), El Alto
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Rodriguez M.
Assist: Pico F.
42'
Salvatierra E.
45'
Pico F.

AI Match Summary

The CONMEBOL Nations League Women game between Bolivia W and Ecuador W finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ecuador W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bolivia W
15%
Draws
85%
Ecuador W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ecuador W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ecuador W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ecuador W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ecuador W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bolivia W Clean Sheet 10%
Ecuador W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolivia W Ecuador W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0.41 1.6
Goals Conceded 4 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Bolivia W vs Ecuador W
0:4
Feb 20, 2023 Friendly International Women
Bolivia W vs Ecuador W
1:5
Feb 18, 2023 Friendly International Women
Bolivia W vs Ecuador W
0:5
Jul 8, 2022 Copa América Women
Bolivia W vs Ecuador W
1:6
Feb 24, 2021 Friendly International Women
Ecuador W vs Bolivia W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolivia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ecuador W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cedeno S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolivia W 10 / 100
Ecuador W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolivia W Ecuador W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Ecuador W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Bolivia W's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Ecuador W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolivia W VS Ecuador W
0.25 Goals Scored 1
5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolivia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
18 Apr
Venezuela W
8 : 0
Bolivia W
14 Apr
Bolivia W
1 : 2
Uruguay W
02 Dec
Argentina W
8 : 0
Bolivia W
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Ecuador W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
10 Apr
Paraguay W
2 : 0
Ecuador W
07 Mar
Ecuador W
1 : 1
Uruguay W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)