Sport Picks

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Bolnisi vs Shturmi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Nozadze L.
52'
Khositashvili V.
55'
Sub
Lekvtadze I. In: Omarashvili G.
Out: Lekvtadze I.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 game between Bolnisi and Shturmi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shturmi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Bolnisi
15%
Draws
65%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Bolnisi haven't matched Shturmi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Shturmi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 17%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolnisi Shturmi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Shturmi
0:1
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Bolnisi
0:2
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Shturmi
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Shturmi
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Shturmi vs Bolnisi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolnisi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Papava L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolnisi 12 / 100
Shturmi 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolnisi Shturmi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bolnisi's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Shturmi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Bolnisi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bolnisi VS Shturmi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolnisi

(Home)
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1
Shturmi
08 Aug
Gori
4 : 1
Bolnisi
25 Jul
Gori
1 : 0
Bolnisi
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3
BKMA
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
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Shturmi

(Away)
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1
Shturmi
08 Aug
Shturmi
2 : 1
Merani Martvili
26 Jul
Samtredia
2 : 1
Shturmi
26 Jun
West Georgia
0 : 2
Shturmi
22 Jun
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Shturmi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 22 12 7 3 27:16 43
2 Telavi 22 11 7 4 24:16 40
3 Shturmi 22 8 9 5 20:16 33
4 Merani Martvili 22 8 7 7 24:23 31
5 Dusheti 22 9 4 9 23:27 31
6 Bolnisi 22 7 7 8 27:25 28
7 Odishi 1919 22 7 7 8 25:28 28
8 Samtredia 22 7 4 11 31:38 25
9 Gori 22 4 7 11 17:27 19
10 Kolkheti 1913 22 4 7 11 28:30 19
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)