Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bologna vs Lazio

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Mon, Aug 24, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bologna host Lazio in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bologna have averaged 1 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Lazio's 1.13 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Bologna have won 1 to Lazio's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.31 - 1.44) back Lazio to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Bologna
17%
Draws
13%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bologna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lazio haven't matched Bologna's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bologna a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bologna Clean Sheet 68%
Lazio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna Lazio
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie A
Bologna vs Lazio
0:2
Feb 11, 2026 Coppa Italia
Bologna vs Lazio
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A
Lazio vs Bologna
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Serie A
Bologna vs Lazio
5:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Bologna
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 77 / 100
Lazio 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna Lazio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (37 games).

Lazio let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Bologna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Lazio
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00