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Bologna U19 vs AC Milan U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Rosetti M.
13'
Sala E.
14' Event
Ebone T.

AI Match Summary

Bologna U19 host AC Milan U19 in the Primavera 1 2023/2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bologna U19 have averaged 1.63 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against AC Milan U19's 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Bologna U19 have won 2 to AC Milan U19's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 1, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.69) point toward AC Milan U19. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bologna U19
44%
Draws
20%
AC Milan U19
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Bologna U19 demonstrates higher offensive output (1.63 avg goals) than AC Milan U19 (1.25 avg goals).
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primavera 1 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bologna U19 Clean Sheet 13%
AC Milan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna U19 AC Milan U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Primavera 1
Bologna U19 vs AC Milan U19
2:1
Sep 2, 2023 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Bologna U19
4:1
Mar 10, 2023 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Bologna U19
1:0
Oct 2, 2022 Primavera 1
Bologna U19 vs AC Milan U19
0:3
Apr 23, 2022 Primavera 1
AC Milan U19 vs Bologna U19
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebone T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AC Milan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonomi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna U19 35 / 100
AC Milan U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna U19 AC Milan U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bologna U19 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

AC Milan U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Bologna U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

AC Milan U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna U19 VS AC Milan U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter U19341813371:3167
2AS Roma U1934198769:3865
3Lazio U19341611745:3859
4Atalanta U19341671158:4655
5Sassuolo U19341661262:6154
6AC Milan U19341491154:4451
7Cagliari U19341481252:5850
8Torino U193413101165:6449
9Genoa U19341451554:5147
10Verona U193411131060:5946
11Empoli U193411121149:4945
12Juventus U19341181545:5341
13Lecce U193410111349:5641
14Fiorentina U19349101552:5437
15Bologna U19341061844:6936
16Monza U19347131451:6634
17Sampdoria U1934881841:5832
18Frosinone U1934682041:6726