Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bologna U19 vs Lecce U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Bologna U19 Logo

Bologna U19

1 - 3
FT
Lecce U19 Logo

Lecce U19

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Burnete R.
40' Event
Daka D.
55' Event
Ravaglioli T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2023/2024 game between Bologna U19 and Lecce U19 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lecce U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bologna U19
35%
Draws
53%
Lecce U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lecce U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Bologna U19 haven't matched Lecce U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lecce U19 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bologna U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Lecce U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna U19 Lecce U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Primavera 1
Bologna U19 vs Lecce U19
1:3
Nov 25, 2023 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Bologna U19
3:2
Apr 8, 2023 Primavera 1
Bologna U19 vs Lecce U19
2:3
Oct 23, 2022 Primavera 1
Lecce U19 vs Bologna U19
0:1
Feb 17, 2022 Primavera 1
Bologna U19 vs Lecce U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravaglioli T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lecce U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burnete R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Daka D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna U19 10 / 100
Lecce U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna U19 Lecce U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lecce U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lecce U19 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Bologna U19's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bologna U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna U19 VS Lecce U19
2.25 Goals Scored 1.86
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna U19

(Home)
11 Dec
Benfica U19
3 : 0
Bologna U19
27 Nov
Bologna U19
2 : 2
Lille U19
05 Nov
Bologna U19
0 : 0
Monaco U19
22 Oct
Aston Villa U19
3 : 1
Bologna U19
02 Oct
Liverpool U19
2 : 1
Bologna U19
Page 1 of 6

Lecce U19

(Away)
17 May
Monza U19
1 : 5
Lecce U19
12 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AS Roma U19
06 May
Lecce U19
1 : 1
AC Milan U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
22 Apr
Lecce U19
3 : 0
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)