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Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Grodowski J.
14' Event
Grodowski J.
29' Event
Worl M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Bologna and Arminia Bielefeld finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arminia Bielefeld.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Bologna
35%
Draws
39%
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arminia Bielefeld

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Arminia Bielefeld carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bologna's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bologna Clean Sheet 14%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna Arminia Bielefeld
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.18 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Arminia Bielefeld Compare

Top Goalscorer Grodowski J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Worl M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 39 / 100
Arminia Bielefeld 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna Arminia Bielefeld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bologna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arminia Bielefeld has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Bologna found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Bologna remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Arminia Bielefeld
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bologna

(Home)
19 Sept
Bologna
1 : 1
Torino
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
31 Aug
Atalanta
1 : 0
Bologna
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
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Arminia Bielefeld

(Away)
03 Oct
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
RW Essen
20 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
Heidenheim
11 Sept
Darmstadt
2 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
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