Sport Picks
Bolton vs Bradford City Prediction & H2H Stats
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton 
Match Events
11'
11'
Cissoko I.
Assist: Forss M.
20'
20'
Cissoko I.
37'
37'
Sub
McAtee J. In: Randall J.
Out: McAtee J.
AI Match Summary
Bolton in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bradford City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bradford City lately — more wins on the board than Bolton.
- Win probability leans Bradford City's way, sitting at 90%.
- Bradford City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bolton, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bolton Clean Sheet 15%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolton | Bradford City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 14, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Bolton
0:1
May 9, 2026 League One
Bolton vs Bradford City
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Bradford City vs Bolton
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Bolton vs Bradford City
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Bolton vs Bradford City
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolton Compare
Top Goalscorer Cissoko I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Forss M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Bradford City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolton 10 / 100
Bradford City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolton Bradford City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bradford City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bolton found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Bradford City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Bolton stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bolton VS Bradford City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolton
(Home) 20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4 Bolton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0 Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2 Bolton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
29 Aug
Bolton
0 : 1 Lincoln City
15 Aug
Bolton
2 : 1 Preston
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 3
Bradford City
(Away) 22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1 Bradford City
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Bradford City
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0 Mansfield
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Luton
0 : 1 Bradford City
12 Sept
Notts County
0 : 1 Bradford City
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Bradford City
29 Aug
Plymouth
2 : 0 Bradford City
20 Aug
Sheffield Wed
0 : 1 Bradford City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
