Sport Picks
Bolton vs Lincoln City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton 
Match Events
30'
30'
House B.
61'
61'
Sub
Famewo A. In: Larrazabal G.
Out: Famewo A.
61'
61'
Sub
Iling Junior S. In: Dong K.
Out: Iling Junior S.
AI Match Summary
The Championship game between Bolton and Lincoln City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lincoln City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Lincoln City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Bolton's way, sitting at 42%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bolton Clean Sheet 16%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolton | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Championship
Bolton vs Lincoln City
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 League One
Lincoln City vs Bolton
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 League One
Bolton vs Lincoln City
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 League One
Lincoln City vs Bolton
4:2
Jan 14, 2025 EFL Trophy
Lincoln City vs Bolton
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolton Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lincoln City Compare
Top Goalscorer House B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolton 41 / 100
Lincoln City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolton Lincoln City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bolton scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Lincoln City conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Bolton stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bolton VS Lincoln City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolton
(Home) 20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4 Bolton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0 Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2 Bolton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
29 Aug
Bolton
0 : 1 Lincoln City
15 Aug
Bolton
2 : 1 Preston
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 3
Lincoln City
(Away) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 1 Southampton
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Bristol City
0 : 1 Lincoln City
12 Sept
Preston
0 : 1 Lincoln City
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
29 Aug
Bolton
0 : 1 Lincoln City
25 Aug
Blackpool
1 : 4 Lincoln City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
