Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Cozier-Duberry A.
Assist: Osei-Tutu J.
30'
30'
Kenny J.
Assist: Gale T.
39'
39'
Sub
Sweeney D. In: Earley S.
Out: Sweeney D.
AI Match Summary
The League One 2025/2026 game between Bolton and Stevenage finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bolton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bolton come out ahead of Stevenage on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Bolton taking it.
- Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bolton Clean Sheet 68%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2026 League One
Bolton vs Stevenage
5:1
Jan 20, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Bolton
0:0
May 3, 2025 League One
Bolton vs Stevenage
1:1
Oct 29, 2024 League One
Stevenage vs Bolton
1:4
Mar 29, 2024 League One
Stevenage vs Bolton
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolton Compare
Top Goalscorer Cozier-Duberry A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kenny J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Kemp D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolton 95 / 100
Stevenage 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolton Stevenage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bolton found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Bolton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Stevenage's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Bolton VS Stevenage
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolton
(Home) 28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Bolton
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0 Everton
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3 Bolton
17 Jul
Dun. Streda
2 : 1 Bolton
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0 Everton
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1 Stockport County
09 May
Bolton
1 : 0 Bradford City
02 May
Bolton
2 : 3 Luton
18 Apr
Bolton
3 : 3 Huddersfield
Page 1 of 3
Stevenage
(Away) 25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0 Millwall
22 Jul
Stevenage
0 : 5 West Ham
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
09 May
Stevenage
0 : 1 Stockport County
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
FC Andorra
0 : 0 Stevenage
13 May
Stockport County
2 : 0 Stevenage
25 Apr
Doncaster
1 : 1 Stevenage
14 Apr
Bolton
5 : 1 Stevenage
11 Apr
Bradford City
0 : 1 Stevenage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | 35 |
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)
