Sport Picks
Bolton vs Stoke City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Championship Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton 
Match Events
20'
20'
Talovierov M.
34'
34'
McGlynn J.
45'
45'
Cisse L.
Assist: Galbraith E.
AI Match Summary
Stoke City in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stoke City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stoke City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Stoke City haven't matched Bolton's recent run of results.
- Model gives Bolton a 36% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Stoke City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bolton Clean Sheet 13%
Stoke City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolton | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Championship
Bolton vs Stoke City
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Bolton vs Stoke City
0:1
Dec 29, 2018 Championship
Bolton vs Stoke City
0:0
Oct 2, 2018 Championship
Stoke City vs Bolton
2:0
Jul 29, 2017 Club Friendly
Bolton vs Stoke City
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolton Compare
Top Goalscorer Bair T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Stoke City Compare
Top Goalscorer Cisse L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilmot B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolton 35 / 100
Stoke City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolton Stoke City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stoke City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Bolton found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Bolton stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bolton VS Stoke City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolton
(Home) 20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4 Bolton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0 Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2 Bolton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0 Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3 West Ham
29 Aug
Bolton
0 : 1 Lincoln City
15 Aug
Bolton
2 : 1 Preston
01 Aug
Bolton
1 : 0 NAC Breda
Page 1 of 3
Stoke City
(Away) 19 Sept
Stoke City
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
01 Sept
Stoke City
1 : 0 Norwich
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Watford
1 : 2 Stoke City
08 Sept
Cardiff
1 : 1 Stoke City
29 Aug
Wolves
4 : 1 Stoke City
22 Aug
Southampton
3 : 1 Stoke City
18 Jul
Crewe
1 : 1 Stoke City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 | QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
