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Boluspor vs Hatayspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Bolu Atatürk Stadyumu, Bolu
Boluspor Logo

Boluspor

3 - 1
FT
Hatayspor Logo

Hatayspor

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Usluoglu A.
44' Event
Alici B.
Assist: Davas D.
46'
Sub
Yildiz A. In: Arslan E.
Out: Yildiz A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Boluspor and Hatayspor finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boluspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Boluspor
20%
Draws
64%
Hatayspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hatayspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Boluspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hatayspor's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Boluspor Clean Sheet 15%
Hatayspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boluspor Hatayspor
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 0.93 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.18 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Hatayspor
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Boluspor
2:2
Jul 1, 2020 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Hatayspor
1:0
Dec 7, 2019 1. Lig
Hatayspor vs Boluspor
3:0
May 3, 2019 1. Lig
Boluspor vs Hatayspor
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boluspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Alici B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Hatayspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boluspor 11 / 100
Hatayspor 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boluspor Hatayspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hatayspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hatayspor conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Difficult form: Hatayspor registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Boluspor found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Boluspor VS Hatayspor
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Boluspor

(Home)
03 Oct
Rizespor
3 : 0
Boluspor
19 Sept
Sariyer
2 : 1
Boluspor
12 Sept
Boluspor
1 : 1
Pendikspor
05 Sept
Bandirmaspor
6 : 0
Boluspor
01 Sept
Boluspor
0 : 2
Keciorengucu
Page 1 of 6

Hatayspor

(Away)
07 Oct
Hatayspor
1 : 2
Karakopru
03 Oct
Isparta 32 Spor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
27 Sept
Hatayspor
2 : 0
Arnavutkoy Bl.
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Corluspor
0 : 0
Hatayspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erzurumspor FK 38 23 12 3 82:27 81
2 Amedspor 38 21 11 6 81:42 74
3 Erokspor 38 21 11 6 81:35 74
4 Corum FK 38 21 8 9 63:39 71
5 Bodrumspor 38 18 10 10 71:39 64
6 Pendikspor 38 16 15 7 58:33 63
7 Keciorengucu 38 16 12 10 73:43 60
8 Bandirmaspor 38 16 12 10 47:34 60
9 Manisa FK 38 16 7 15 57:56 55
10 Sivasspor 38 14 11 13 47:43 53
11 Istanbulspor AS 38 13 13 12 57:55 52
12 Sariyer 38 15 7 16 44:44 52
13 Igdir FK 38 13 11 14 52:54 50
14 Vanspor FK 38 13 10 15 52:47 49
15 Boluspor 38 14 6 18 61:57 48
16 Umraniyespor 38 13 7 18 47:51 46
17 Serik Spor 38 11 6 21 44:75 39
18 Sakaryaspor 38 8 10 20 45:72 34
19 Hatayspor 38 2 8 28 33:102 14
20 Adanademirspor 38 1 3 34 22:169 -54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)