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Bom Jesus vs Rioverdense

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3
Bom Jesus Logo

Bom Jesus

3 - 0
FT
Rioverdense Logo

Rioverdense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bom Jesus in this Goiano 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bom Jesus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bom Jesus
15%
Draws
0%
Rioverdense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bom Jesus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rioverdense haven't matched Bom Jesus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bom Jesus a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Goiano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bom Jesus Clean Sheet 20%
Rioverdense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bom Jesus Rioverdense
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 1 23
Goals Scored 2.2 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Goiano 3
Bom Jesus vs Rioverdense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bom Jesus 85 / 100
Rioverdense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bom Jesus Rioverdense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bom Jesus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bom Jesus's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Rioverdense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Rioverdense lost 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bom Jesus VS Rioverdense
3.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Bom Jesus

(Home)
30 Aug
Bom Jesus
1 : 2
Mineiros
26 Aug
Tupy FC
0 : 1
Bom Jesus
22 Aug
Goiania
0 : 1
Bom Jesus
16 Aug
Bom Jesus
2 : 0
Gremio Anapolis
12 Aug
Sao Luis
2 : 2
Bom Jesus
Page 1 of 4

Rioverdense

(Away)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
10 Nov
Rioverdense
1 : 3
Aparecida EC
01 Nov
Santa Helena
5 : 1
Rioverdense
25 Oct
Rioverdense
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Oct
Guanabara City
8 : 2
Rioverdense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bom Jesus 11 9 2 0 33:5 29
2 Mineiros 11 9 0 2 23:6 27
3 Sao Luis 11 7 4 0 17:3 25
4 ABD FC 11 7 2 2 31:4 23
5 America GO 11 6 3 2 17:9 21
6 Guanabara City 11 6 1 4 22:13 19
7 Santa Helena 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
8 Aparecida EC 11 2 3 6 11:12 9
9 Pires do Rio 11 2 3 6 15:22 9
10 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 11 2 1 8 10:34 7
11 Rioverdense 11 1 0 10 7:40 3
12 Itumbiara 11 1 0 10 9:46 3
Promotion - Goiano 2 (Main)