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Bombada vs Dutch Lions Prediction & H2H Stats

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Jatta M.
54' Event
Jabang S.

AI Match Summary

Bombada in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bombada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bombada
15%
Draws
34%
Dutch Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bombada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bombada lately — more wins on the board than Dutch Lions.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Bombada Clean Sheet 68%
Dutch Lions Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombada Dutch Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 13
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 GFA League
Bombada vs Dutch Lions
2:0
Jan 30, 2026 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Bombada
1:1
May 31, 2025 GFA League
Bombada vs Dutch Lions
3:1
Dec 20, 2024 GFA League
Dutch Lions vs Bombada
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bombada Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jabang S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dutch Lions Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombada 42 / 100
Dutch Lions 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombada Dutch Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bombada's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Dutch Lions registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Dutch Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bombada VS Dutch Lions
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bombada

(Home)
22 Jun
BST Galaxy
4 : 1
Bombada
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Bombada
2 : 0
Gambia Ports
Page 1 of 6

Dutch Lions

(Away)
22 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 3
Brikama United
17 Jun
Medina United
2 : 1
Dutch Lions
11 Jun
Dutch Lions
3 : 4
TMT
06 Jun
Gambia Ports
1 : 0
Dutch Lions
25 May
Dutch Lions
3 : 1
Hawks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)