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Bombada vs Samger

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Manneh I.
(Penalty)
67' Event
78' Event
Cham A.

AI Match Summary

Samger in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Bombada
35%
Draws
35%
Samger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bombada have won more games recently than Samger.
  • Model gives Samger a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bombada Clean Sheet 27%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombada Samger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 14
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.2 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Bombada
2:1
Feb 20, 2026 GFA League
Bombada vs Samger
1:2
Jun 29, 2024 GFA League
Bombada vs Samger
7:0
Feb 9, 2024 GFA League
Samger vs Bombada
0:2
May 5, 2017 GFA League
Bombada vs Samger
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bombada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Samger Compare

Top Goalscorer Cham A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombada 30 / 100
Samger 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombada Samger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bombada scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Samger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Bombada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bombada VS Samger
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bombada

(Home)
22 Jun
BST Galaxy
4 : 1
Bombada
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
12 Jun
Bombada
0 : 1
Medina United
04 Jun
TMT
0 : 1
Bombada
25 May
Bombada
2 : 0
Gambia Ports
Page 1 of 6

Samger

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)