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Bombarralense vs Sporting Ideal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bombarralense in this Taça de Portugal 2010/2011 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Bombarralense
15%
Draws
36%
Sporting Ideal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bombarralense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Ideal lately — more wins on the board than Bombarralense.
  • Model gives Bombarralense a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Sporting Ideal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bombarralense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Bombarralense Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Ideal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bombarralense Sporting Ideal
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 2 8
Draws 1 7
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 0.86 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Bombarralense vs Sporting Ideal
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bombarralense 85 / 100
Sporting Ideal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bombarralense Sporting Ideal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bombarralense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sporting Ideal conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sporting Ideal lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Bombarralense's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bombarralense VS Sporting Ideal
0 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bombarralense

(Home)
20 Sept
Bombarralense
0 : 1
Vizela
28 Aug
GD Alcochetense
6 : 2
Bombarralense
21 Nov
Bombarralense
:
U. Madeira
17 Oct
Bombarralense
0 : 0
Louletano
19 Sept
Santacruzense
0 : 2
Bombarralense
Page 1 of 2

Sporting Ideal

(Away)
08 May
SC Praiense
3 : 0
Sporting Ideal
01 May
Sporting Ideal
1 : 0
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Apr
Sporting Ideal
1 : 2
Operario
10 Apr
Sporting Ideal
2 : 4
SC Praiense
03 Apr
CD Rabo Peixe
6 : 0
Sporting Ideal
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Porto 4
AD Limianos 1
Operario 0
Moreirense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
Juv. Evora 1
Leixoes 3
Mafra 2
AD Pontassolense 1
SC Espinho 4
Tirsense 5
Sampedrense 1
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Rio Ave 4
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Anadia 1
Feirense 2
GD Tourizense 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Sertanense 0
Padroense 2
Nacional 4
Braga 2
1º Dezembro 1
Arouca 1
Benfica 5
Academica 2
FC Cesarense 1
SC Mirandela 1
Beira Mar 2
Bombarralense 0
Louletano 0
Leiria 1
U. Madeira 2
Sporting CP 2
Estoril 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Maritimo 2
Naval 0
Gil Vicente 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
SC Farense 1
Fatima 0
Carregado 1
Ribeirao 2
BSAD 0
Gondomar 0
Varzim 1
Torreense 1
Lagoa 0
Coimbroes 1
Mondinense 2
Portimonense 2
Cinfaes 0
Malveira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
Moreirense 0
Santa Maria FC 0
Juv. Evora 3
Leixoes 2
SC Espinho 1
Tirsense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 3
Feirense 0
GD Tourizense 2
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Nacional 0
Braga 0
Benfica 2
Academica 2
Beira Mar 0
Bombarralense -
U. Madeira -
Sporting CP 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Maritimo 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Carregado 0
Ribeirao 3
Varzim 4
Torreense 2
Mondinense 1
Portimonense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Juv. Evora 0
Leixoes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 4
Atletico CP 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 5
Academica 3
U. Madeira 1
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Varzim 1
Torreense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Pinhalnovense 0
Rio Ave 0
Benfica 2
Academica 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Benfica 3
Academica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Final
FC Porto 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 2