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Bonagee vs Lucan Utd

Ireland Ireland

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Bonagee and Lucan Utd finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucan Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bonagee
15%
Draws
51%
Lucan Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Lucan Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Bonagee taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bonagee Clean Sheet 14%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonagee Lucan Utd
Matches Played 7 17
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 0
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.61 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League
Bonagee vs Lucan Utd
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonagee 48 / 100
Lucan Utd 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonagee Lucan Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonagee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucan Utd has conceded goals in 82% of their last 17 outings.

Lucan Utd lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bonagee scored in 57% of their last 7 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bonagee VS Lucan Utd
1.6 Goals Scored 1.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.63
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonagee

(Home)
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Aug
Bonagee
0 : 4
Shelbourne
31 Jul
Bonagee
6 : 0
Pike Rovers
23 May
Crumlin Utd
1 : 0
Bonagee
Page 1 of 2

Lucan Utd

(Away)
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2
University College Cork
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Mervue United 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
3 Lucan Utd 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Bonagee 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
5 Cockhill 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 TU Dublin 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
3 Letterkenny Rovers 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Mayo FC 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
5 St Francis 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 CK United FC 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
3 University College Cork 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
4 Killarney Celtic 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
5 Newbridge Town 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams