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Bonagee vs Mervue United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Bonagee and Mervue United finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mervue United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Bonagee
20%
Draws
73%
Mervue United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mervue United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mervue United come out ahead of Bonagee on wins alone.
  • Mervue United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bonagee Clean Sheet 10%
Mervue United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonagee Mervue United
Matches Played 10 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.39
Goals Conceded 2 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National League
Bonagee vs Mervue United
1:6
Sep 19, 2026 National League
Mervue United vs Bonagee
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonagee 10 / 100
Mervue United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonagee Mervue United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mervue United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Bonagee scored in 60% of their last 10 outings.

Mervue United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Bonagee remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonagee VS Mervue United
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonagee

(Home)
10 Oct
Home Farm
2 : 0
Bonagee
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
Page 1 of 2

Mervue United

(Away)
03 Oct
Bonagee
1 : 6
Mervue United
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Mervue United
2 : 1
Bonagee
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 6 4 2 0 18:5 14
2 Lucan Utd 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
3 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
4 Bonagee 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
5 Cockhill 5 0 1 4 3:14 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mayo FC 6 3 0 3 6:9 9
2 St Francis 5 2 2 1 9:4 8
3 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
4 Letterkenny Rovers 6 2 1 3 12:13 7
5 TU Dublin 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 6 5 1 0 25:6 16
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 5 2 1 2 8:11 7
4 Killarney Celtic 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
5 Newbridge Town 6 0 2 4 6:18 2
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams