Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonagee vs Shelbourne

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
McNamee T.
19'
Sub
Farrell S. In: Moylan J.
Out: Farrell S.
32'
Funston M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Shelbourne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bonagee
30%
Draws
39%
Shelbourne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shelbourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Shelbourne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Shelbourne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Shelbourne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bonagee Clean Sheet 18%
Shelbourne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonagee Shelbourne
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 10
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2022 FAI Cup
Bonagee vs Shelbourne
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonagee Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Shelbourne Compare

Top Goalscorer Carr D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Giurgi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonagee 31 / 100
Shelbourne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonagee Shelbourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonagee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shelbourne has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bonagee scored in 57% of their last 7 outings.

Solid form: Bonagee remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonagee VS Shelbourne
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonagee

(Home)
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Aug
Bonagee
0 : 4
Shelbourne
31 Jul
Bonagee
6 : 0
Pike Rovers
23 May
Crumlin Utd
1 : 0
Bonagee
Page 1 of 2

Shelbourne

(Away)
18 Sept
Dundalk
2 : 3
Shelbourne
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1
Derry City
04 Sept
Shamrock Rovers
0 : 0
Shelbourne
28 Aug
Galway United
1 : 1
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Salthill 2
Malahide United 3
St. Patricks 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Wexford 2
Dundalk 4
Longford 0
Bonagee 6
Pike Rovers 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 3
Lucan Utd 3
Killester Donnycarney 0
Finn Harps 1
Bohemians 3
Derry City 7
Oliver Bond FC 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Cork City 1
Drogheda 5
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Maynooth University 2
Villa FC 1
Treaty United 5
Usher Celtic 0
Bluebell Utd 0
Galway United 7
UC Dublin 3
Cockhill 0
1/8-finals
Malahide United 0
Waterford 6
Wexford 2
Dundalk 3
Bonagee 0
Shelbourne 4
Lucan Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Derry City 2
Cork City 0
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Maynooth University 0
Treaty United 3
Galway United 2
UC Dublin 3
Quarter-finals
Waterford 3
Dundalk 2
Shelbourne 3
Bohemians 0
Derry City 3
Shamrock Rovers 1
Treaty United 4
UC Dublin 1
Semi-finals
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 1
Final
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 4