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Bonaire vs Anguilla Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ronde G.
36' Event
Pourier M.

AI Match Summary

Bonaire in this CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonaire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bonaire
15%
Draws
85%
Anguilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Anguilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Bonaire have won more games recently than Anguilla.
  • Bonaire are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 15%
Anguilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Anguilla
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.31 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Anguilla vs Bonaire
0:3
Oct 12, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Anguilla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronde G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pourier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Anguilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 75 / 100
Anguilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Anguilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonaire Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Anguilla has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Anguilla lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Bonaire scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Anguilla
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
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Anguilla

(Away)
01 Oct
Anguilla
0 : 3
Antigua and Barbuda
29 Sept
Anguilla
0 : 2
Aruba
26 Sept
Antigua and Barbuda
5 : 0
Anguilla
21 Sept
Dominica
1 : 0
Anguilla
29 Mar
British Virgin Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Martin 4 4 0 0 20:1 12
2 Bonaire 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
3 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:19 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aruba 4 4 0 0 14:4 12
2 Cayman Islands 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
3 United States Virgin Islands 4 0 1 3 5:11 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominica 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 British Virgin Islands 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams