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Bonaire vs Cuba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bonaire host Cuba in the CONCACAF Nations League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Bonaire have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Cuba's 1.31 scored and 1.66 conceded. Past meetings favor Cuba slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.69) point toward Cuba. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Bonaire
30%
Draws
52%
Cuba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bonaire haven't matched Cuba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cuba a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 13%
Cuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Cuba
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Cuba vs Bonaire
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 10 / 100
Cuba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Cuba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cuba has conceded goals in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Solid form: Bonaire remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Cuba
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
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Cuba

(Away)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
25 Sept
Grenada
0 : 3
Cuba
29 Mar
Dominican Republic
1 : 1
Cuba
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