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Bonaire vs Saint Kitts and Nevis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League SKNFA technical centre, Basseterre
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sonnenschein B.
Assist: Cicilia A.
36' Event
Williams T.
46'
Sub
Blanken M. In: Martijn R.
Out: Blanken M.

AI Match Summary

Saint Kitts and Nevis in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Bonaire
20%
Draws
63%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saint Kitts and Nevis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint Kitts and Nevis lately — more wins on the board than Bonaire.
  • Model gives Saint Kitts and Nevis a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Saint Kitts and Nevis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Saint Kitts and Nevis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonnenschein B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 10 / 100
Saint Kitts and Nevis 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Saint Kitts and Nevis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Kitts and Nevis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Saint Kitts and Nevis has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bonaire went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Saint Kitts and Nevis
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
06 Oct
Grenada
1 : 4
Bonaire
03 Oct
Bonaire
2 : 3
Grenada
28 Sept
Cuba
2 : 0
Bonaire
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
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Saint Kitts and Nevis

(Away)
05 Oct
Cuba
2 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
02 Oct
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 3
Cuba
29 Sept
Saint Kitts and Nevis
3 : 0
Grenada
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
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