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Bonaire vs Saint Martin Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Series Antonio Trinidad Stadium, Rincon
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Alexandre J.
51' Event
Leo J.
68' Event
Denis R.

AI Match Summary

Saint Martin in this CONCACAF Series matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Bonaire
15%
Draws
64%
Saint Martin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint Martin lately — more wins on the board than Bonaire.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Saint Martin taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Saint Martin have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Saint Martin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.32 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 CONCACAF Series
Bonaire vs Saint Martin
0:3
Nov 21, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Saint Martin
0:4
Sep 11, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Saint Martin vs Bonaire
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Saint Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexandre J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 10 / 100
Saint Martin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Saint Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Martin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bonaire scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Saint Martin conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Bonaire has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Saint Martin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
26 Sept
Bonaire
1 : 2
Saint Kitts and Nevis
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
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Saint Martin

(Away)
26 Sept
Saint Martin
0 : 2
United States Virgin Islands
23 Sept
Bahamas
0 : 8
Saint Martin
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
26 Mar
Saint Martin
3 : 1
Barbados
15 Nov
Saint Martin
0 : 1
Belize
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