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Bonaire vs Turks and Caicos Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Montero G.
18' Event
Forbes B.
40' Event
Forbes B.

AI Match Summary

Turks and Caicos Islands in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Turks and Caicos Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bonaire
30%
Draws
34%
Turks and Caicos Islands
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bonaire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bonaire have won more games recently than Turks and Caicos Islands.
  • Model gives Bonaire a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 18%
Turks and Caicos Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire Turks and Caicos Islands
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.63 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs Turks and Caicos Islands
1:2
Jun 3, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Turks and Caicos Islands vs Bonaire
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Montero G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Turks and Caicos Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Forbes B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 36 / 100
Turks and Caicos Islands 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire Turks and Caicos Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonaire found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Turks and Caicos Islands conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Turks and Caicos Islands lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS Turks and Caicos Islands
0.63 Goals Scored 0.57
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sint Maarten632119:911
2Bonaire631212:1110
3Turks and Caicos Islands630310:169
4United States Virgin Islands61145:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis43109:410
2Aruba41125:54
3Saint Martin40222:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Lucia44008:212
2Anguilla40222:52
3Dominica40222:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerto Rico440017:212
2Cayman Islands40223:102
3British Virgin Islands40223:112